Ottimofiore Eduardo, Albouy Camille, Leprieur Fabien, Descombes Patrice, Kulbicki Michel, Mouillot David, Parravicini Valeriano, Pellissier Loïc
Unit of Ecology & Evolution University of Fribourg Fribourg Switzerland.
Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL Birmensdorf Switzerland; Landscape Ecology Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems ETH Zürich Zürich Switzerland; IFREMER, unité Ecologie et Modèles pour l'Halieutiquerue de l'Ile d'Yeu, BP21105 44311 Nantes cedex 3 France.
Ecol Evol. 2017 Feb 26;7(6):1996-2005. doi: 10.1002/ece3.2800. eCollection 2017 Mar.
Coral reefs and their associated fauna are largely impacted by ongoing climate change. Unravelling species responses to past climatic variations might provide clues on the consequence of ongoing changes. Here, we tested the relationship between changes in sea surface temperature and sea levels during the Quaternary and present-day distributions of coral reef fish species. We investigated whether species-specific responses are associated with life-history traits. We collected a database of coral reef fish distribution together with life-history traits for the Indo-Pacific Ocean. We ran species distribution models (SDMs) on 3,725 tropical reef fish species using contemporary environmental factors together with a variable describing isolation from stable coral reef areas during the Quaternary. We quantified the variance explained independently by isolation from stable areas in the SDMs and related it to a set of species traits including body size and mobility. The variance purely explained by isolation from stable coral reef areas on the distribution of extant coral reef fish species largely varied across species. We observed a triangular relationship between the contribution of isolation from stable areas in the SDMs and body size. Species, whose distribution is more associated with historical changes, occurred predominantly in the Indo-Australian archipelago, where the mean size of fish assemblages is the lowest. Our results suggest that the legacy of habitat changes of the Quaternary is still detectable in the extant distribution of many fish species, especially those with small body size and the most sedentary. Because they were the least able to colonize distant habitats in the past, fish species with smaller body size might have the most pronounced lags in tracking ongoing climate change.
珊瑚礁及其相关动物群受到当前气候变化的极大影响。弄清楚物种对过去气候变化的反应可能会为当前变化的后果提供线索。在这里,我们测试了第四纪期间海面温度和海平面变化与珊瑚礁鱼类物种现今分布之间的关系。我们调查了物种特异性反应是否与生活史特征相关。我们收集了印度-太平洋地区珊瑚礁鱼类分布以及生活史特征的数据库。我们使用当代环境因素以及一个描述第四纪期间与稳定珊瑚礁区域隔离程度的变量,对3725种热带礁鱼物种运行了物种分布模型(SDMs)。我们量化了SDMs中由与稳定区域隔离独立解释的方差,并将其与包括体型和移动性在内的一组物种特征相关联。由与稳定珊瑚礁区域隔离纯粹解释的现存珊瑚礁鱼类物种分布的方差在不同物种间差异很大。我们观察到SDMs中与稳定区域隔离的贡献和体型之间存在三角关系。其分布与历史变化关联更大的物种主要出现在印度-澳大利亚群岛,那里鱼类群落的平均体型最小。我们的结果表明,第四纪栖息地变化的遗留影响在许多鱼类物种的现存分布中仍然可以检测到,尤其是那些体型小且最不活跃的物种。由于过去它们在远距离栖息地定殖的能力最弱,体型较小的鱼类物种在追踪当前气候变化方面可能存在最明显的滞后。