Akbulut-Yuksel Mevlude
Dalhousie University, Department of Economics, Halifax, NS, Canada.
J Health Econ. 2017 May;53:117-130. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2017.02.005. Epub 2017 Mar 7.
This paper estimates the causal long-term consequences of an exposure to war in utero and during childhood on the risk of obesity and the probability of having a chronic health condition in adulthood. Using the plausibly exogenous city-by-cohort variation in the intensity of WWII destruction as a unique quasi-experiment, I find that individuals who were exposed to WWII destruction during the prenatal and early postnatal periods have higher BMIs and are more likely to be obese as adults. I also find an elevated incidence of chronic health conditions such as stroke, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disorder in adulthood among these wartime children.
本文估计了子宫内和儿童时期经历战争对肥胖风险和成年后患慢性健康状况可能性的因果长期影响。利用二战破坏强度中看似外生的城市与队列差异作为独特的准实验，我发现产前和产后早期经历二战破坏的个体成年后体重指数更高，且更有可能肥胖。我还发现这些战时儿童成年后患慢性健康状况（如中风、高血压、糖尿病和心血管疾病）的发病率有所上升。
