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利用高分辨率交通和信号数据估计闯红灯频率。

Estimation of red-light running frequency using high-resolution traffic and signal data.

作者信息

Chen Peng, Yu Guizhen, Wu Xinkai, Ren Yilong, Li Yueguang

机构信息

School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Beijing Key Laboratory for Cooperative Infrastructure System and Safety Control, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2017 May;102:235-247. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2017.03.010. Epub 2017 Mar 24.

Abstract

Red-light-running (RLR) emerges as a major cause that may lead to intersection-related crashes and endanger intersection safety. To reduce RLR violations, it's critical to identify the influential factors associated with RLR and estimate RLR frequency. Without resorting to video camera recordings, this study investigates this important issue by utilizing high-resolution traffic and signal event data collected from loop detectors at five intersections on Trunk Highway 55, Minneapolis, MN. First, a simple method is proposed to identify RLR by fully utilizing the information obtained from stop bar detectors, downstream entrance detectors and advance detectors. Using 12 months of event data, a total of 6550 RLR cases were identified. According to a definition of RLR frequency as the conditional probability of RLR on a certain traffic or signal condition (veh/1000veh), the relationships between RLR frequency and some influential factors including arriving time at advance detector, approaching speed, headway, gap to the preceding vehicle on adjacent lane, cycle length, geometric characteristics and even snowing weather were empirically investigated. Statistical analysis shows good agreement with the traffic engineering practice, e.g., RLR is most likely to occur on weekdays during peak periods under large traffic demands and longer signal cycles, and a total of 95.24% RLR events occurred within the first 1.5s after the onset of red phase. The findings confirmed that vehicles tend to run the red light when they are close to intersection during phase transition, and the vehicles following the leading vehicle with short headways also likely run the red light. Last, a simplified nonlinear regression model is proposed to estimate RLR frequency based on the data from advance detector. The study is expected to helpbetter understand RLR occurrence and further contribute to the future improvement of intersection safety.

摘要

闯红灯成为可能导致与十字路口相关的撞车事故并危及十字路口安全的一个主要原因。为了减少闯红灯违规行为,识别与闯红灯相关的影响因素并估计闯红灯频率至关重要。本研究不借助摄像机记录,而是利用从明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市55号主干公路上五个十字路口的环形探测器收集的高分辨率交通和信号事件数据来调查这一重要问题。首先,提出了一种简单方法,通过充分利用从停车线探测器、下游入口探测器和前置探测器获得的信息来识别闯红灯行为。利用12个月的事件数据,共识别出6550起闯红灯案例。根据将闯红灯频率定义为在特定交通或信号条件下闯红灯的条件概率(辆/1000辆车),通过实证研究了闯红灯频率与一些影响因素之间的关系,这些因素包括到达前置探测器的时间、接近速度、车头时距、相邻车道上前车的间距、周期长度、几何特征甚至下雪天气。统计分析与交通工程实践显示出良好的一致性,例如,闯红灯最有可能发生在工作日交通需求大且信号周期较长的高峰时段,并且95.24%的闯红灯事件发生在红灯相位开始后的前1.5秒内。研究结果证实,车辆在相位转换期间接近十字路口时往往会闯红灯,并且车头时距短跟在前车后面的车辆也很可能闯红灯。最后,基于前置探测器的数据提出了一个简化的非线性回归模型来估计闯红灯频率。该研究有望有助于更好地理解闯红灯现象的发生,并进一步为未来十字路口安全的改善做出贡献。

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