Petzer Inge-Marié, Karzis Joanne, Donkin Edward F, Webb Edward C, Etter Eric M C
Department of Production Animal Studies, University of Pretoria.
Onderstepoort J Vet Res. 2017 Mar 24;84(1):e1-e10. doi: 10.4102/ojvr.v84i1.1269.
The objective of the study was to establish an operational somatic cell count (SCC) threshold to predict the presence of intramammary infection (IMI) in composite milk samples and compare findings with those in quarter milk samples. South African dairy producers now preferred composite milk samples for herd udder health analysis because of increasing cow numbers, convenience of sampling and lower cost. A retrospective study was conducted on 345 461 composite and 89 638 quarter milk samples from South African herds. Variance estimates for the proportion of quarter samples testing positive were adjusted to account for the lack of their independence within individual cows. The IMI at SCC thresholds of 150 000 cells/mL and 200 000 cells/mL differed only by 3.26% in composite milk samples. Youden's index indicated the optimum SCC thresholds for composite and quarter milk samples as 150 000 cells/mL and 200 000 cells/mL, respectively. At 150 000 cells/mL, sensitivity (95% confidence intervals [CI]) in composite milk samples was 65.3% (64.0%, 66.6%) and specificity was 66.8% (65.7%, 67.9%); and in quarter milk samples, sensitivity at 200 000 cells/ mL was 70.8% (69.5%, 72.0%) and specificity was 63.6% (62.4%, 64.8%). The likelihood of infection for udders and quarters, respectively, was 1.034 and 1.327 at an SCC threshold of 150 000 cells/mL and 0.864 cells/mL and 1.177 cells/mL at 200 000 cells/mL. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristics graph was 0.7084 and 0.7277 for composite and quarter samples, respectively, indicating that the SCC test could be considered as a good indicator of IMI in both sample types.
本研究的目的是确定一个可操作的体细胞计数(SCC)阈值,以预测混合乳样中乳房内感染(IMI)的存在,并将结果与单个乳区乳样的结果进行比较。由于奶牛数量增加、采样方便且成本较低,南非奶农现在更倾向于使用混合乳样进行牛群乳房健康分析。对来自南非牛群的345461份混合乳样和89638份单个乳区乳样进行了一项回顾性研究。对检测呈阳性的单个乳区样本比例的方差估计进行了调整,以考虑其在个体奶牛内缺乏独立性的情况。在混合乳样中,SCC阈值为150000个细胞/毫升和200000个细胞/毫升时的IMI差异仅为3.26%。约登指数表明,混合乳样和单个乳区乳样的最佳SCC阈值分别为150000个细胞/毫升和200000个细胞/毫升。在150000个细胞/毫升时,混合乳样的敏感性(95%置信区间[CI])为65.3%(64.0%,66.6%),特异性为66.8%(65.7%,67.9%);在单个乳区乳样中,200000个细胞/毫升时的敏感性为70.8%(69.5%,72.0%),特异性为63.6%(62.4%,64.8%)。在SCC阈值为150000个细胞/毫升时,乳房和单个乳区感染的可能性分别为1.034和1.327,在200000个细胞/毫升时分别为0.864和1.177。混合乳样和单个乳区样本的受试者工作特征曲线下面积分别为0.7084和0.7277,这表明SCC检测可被视为两种样本类型中IMI的良好指标。