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运用安全行为抽样技术和贝叶斯网络分析选择减少高风险不安全工作行为的策略。

Selecting Strategies to Reduce High-Risk Unsafe Work Behaviors Using the Safety Behavior Sampling Technique and Bayesian Network Analysis.

作者信息

Ghasemi Fakhradin, Kalatpour Omid, Moghimbeigi Abbas, Mohammadfam Iraj

机构信息

Center of Excellence for Occupational Health, Research Center for Health science, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

Modeling of Non communicable Diseases Research Center and Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

出版信息

J Res Health Sci. 2017 Mar 4;17(1):e00372.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

High-risk unsafe behaviors (HRUBs) have been known as the main cause of occupational accidents. Considering the financial and societal costs of accidents and the limitations of available resources, there is an urgent need for managing unsafe behaviors at workplaces. The aim of the present study was to find strategies for decreasing the rate of HRUBs using an integrated approach of safety behavior sampling technique and Bayesian networks analysis.

STUDY DESIGN

A cross-sectional study.

METHODS

The Bayesian network was constructed using a focus group approach. The required data was collected using the safety behavior sampling, and the parameters of the network were estimated using Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Using sensitivity analysis and belief updating, it was determined that which factors had the highest influences on unsafe behavior.

RESULTS

Based on BN analyses, safety training was the most important factor influencing employees' behavior at the workplace. High quality safety training courses can reduce the rate of HRUBs about 10%. Moreover, the rate of HRUBs increased by decreasing the age of employees. The rate of HRUBs was higher in the afternoon and last days of a week.

CONCLUSIONS

Among the investigated variables, training was the most important factor affecting safety behavior of employees. By holding high quality safety training courses, companies would be able to reduce the rate of HRUBs significantly.

摘要

背景

高风险不安全行为一直被认为是职业事故的主要原因。考虑到事故的经济和社会成本以及可用资源的限制,迫切需要在工作场所管理不安全行为。本研究的目的是使用安全行为抽样技术和贝叶斯网络分析的综合方法,找到降低高风险不安全行为发生率的策略。

研究设计

横断面研究。

方法

采用焦点小组方法构建贝叶斯网络。使用安全行为抽样收集所需数据,并使用期望最大化算法估计网络参数。通过敏感性分析和信念更新,确定哪些因素对不安全行为影响最大。

结果

基于贝叶斯网络分析,安全培训是影响员工在工作场所行为的最重要因素。高质量的安全培训课程可以将高风险不安全行为的发生率降低约10%。此外,高风险不安全行为的发生率随着员工年龄的降低而增加。高风险不安全行为的发生率在下午和一周的最后几天较高。

结论

在所调查的变量中,培训是影响员工安全行为的最重要因素。通过举办高质量的安全培训课程,公司将能够显著降低高风险不安全行为的发生率。

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