Theocharopoulos Georgios, Danis Kostas, Greig Jane, Hoffmann Alexandra, De Valk Henriette, Jimissa Augustine, Tejan Sumaila, Sankoh Mohammed, Kleijer Karline, Turner Will, Achar Jay, Duncombe Jennifer, Lokuge Kamalini, Gayton Ivan, Broeder Rob, Kremer Ronald, Caleo Grazia
European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training (EPIET), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Stockholm, Sweden.
Institut de Veille Sanitaire, Saint-Maurice, France.
PLoS One. 2017 May 1;12(5):e0176692. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0176692. eCollection 2017.
Between August-December 2014, Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) patients from Tonkolili District were referred for care to two Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) Ebola Management Centres (EMCs) outside the district (distant EMCs). In December 2014, MSF opened an EMC in Tonkolili District (district EMC). We examined the effect of opening a district-based EMC on time to admission and number of suspect cases dead on arrival (DOA), and identified factors associated with fatality in EVD patients, residents in Tonkolili District. Residents of Tonkolili district who presented between 12 September 2014 and 23 February 2015 to the district EMC and the two distant EMCs were identified from EMC line-lists. EVD cases were confirmed by a positive Ebola PCR test. We calculated time to admission since the onset of symptoms, case-fatality and adjusted Risk Ratios (aRR) using Binomial regression. Of 249 confirmed Ebola cases, 206 (83%) were admitted to the distant EMCs and 43 (17%) to the district EMC. Of them 110 (45%) have died. Confirmed cases dead on arrival (n = 10) were observed only in the distant EMCs. The median time from symptom onset to admission was 6 days (IQR 4,8) in distant EMCs and 3 days (IQR 2,7) in the district EMC (p<0.001). Cases were 2.0 (95%CI 1.4-2.9) times more likely to have delayed admission (>3 days after symptom onset) in the distant compared with the district EMC, but were less likely (aRR = 0.8; 95%CI 0.6-1.0) to have a high viral load (cycle threshold ≤22). A fatal outcome was associated with a high viral load (aRR 2.6; 95%CI 1.8-3.6) and vomiting at first presentation (aRR 1.4; 95%CI 1.0-2.0). The opening of a district EMC was associated with earlier admission of cases to appropriate care facilities, an essential component of reducing EVD transmission. High viral load and vomiting at admission predicted fatality. Healthcare providers should consider the location of EMCs to ensure equitable access during Ebola outbreaks.
2014年8月至12月期间,来自通科利利区的埃博拉病毒病(EVD)患者被转诊至该区以外的两家无国界医生组织(MSF)埃博拉管理中心(EMC,即远程EMC)接受治疗。2014年12月,无国界医生组织在通科利利区开设了一家EMC(即区级EMC)。我们研究了开设区级EMC对入院时间和抵达时死亡的疑似病例数的影响,并确定了通科利利区EVD患者死亡的相关因素。从EMC的名单中确定了2014年9月12日至2015年2月23日期间前往区级EMC和两家远程EMC就诊的通科利利区居民。EVD病例通过埃博拉PCR检测呈阳性得以确诊。我们使用二项式回归计算了自症状出现以来的入院时间、病死率和调整风险比(aRR)。在249例确诊的埃博拉病例中,206例(83%)被收治到远程EMC,43例(17%)被收治到区级EMC。其中110例(45%)已经死亡。仅在远程EMC观察到抵达时死亡的确诊病例(n = 10)。远程EMC从症状出现到入院的中位时间为6天(四分位间距4,8),区级EMC为3天(四分位间距2,7)(p<0.001)。与区级EMC相比,远程EMC的病例延迟入院(症状出现后>3天)的可能性高2.0倍(95%置信区间1.4 - 2.9),但病毒载量高(循环阈值≤22)的可能性较小(aRR = 0.8;95%置信区间0.6 - 1.0)。致命结局与高病毒载量(aRR 2.6;95%置信区间1.8 - 3.6)和首次就诊时呕吐(aRR 1.4;95%置信区间1.0 - 2.0)相关。开设区级EMC与病例更早被收治到合适的医疗机构相关,这是减少EVD传播的一个重要组成部分。高病毒载量和入院时呕吐预示着死亡。在埃博拉疫情期间,医疗服务提供者应考虑EMC的位置,以确保公平就医。