Bernardi Fabrizio, Boertien Diederik
European University Institute, Fiesole, Italy.
Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics, Barcelona, Spain.
Eur J Popul. 2017;33(2):243-266. doi: 10.1007/s10680-017-9417-5. Epub 2017 Mar 20.
In recent years, researchers have become increasingly interested in how the effects of parental separation on children's educational attainment vary with social background. On the one hand, parents with more resources might be better able to prevent possible adverse events like separation to affect their children's outcomes. On the other hand, children from higher social backgrounds might have more resources to lose from a parental separation. A wide range of empirical studies on the issue have come to inconsistent conclusions, with support found for both perspectives. The aim of this paper is to monitor the influence of methodological and operational choices on the different results observed across studies. We focus on aspects such as the operationalization of key variables, the measurement of inequality in absolute and relative terms and the different strategies used to address endogeneity. We study the effects of parental separation on educational attainment for a cohort of British children born in 1970 and find that conclusions change depending on whether social background is measured using the mother's or father's characteristics and whether relative or absolute differences between groups are considered. Results are relatively insensitive to the operationalization of dependent variables and the treatment of missing data. When using data from Understanding Society instead of the British Cohort Study, results also did not change. We reflect on how these findings can explain the contradictory results from earlier studies on the topic, and how heterogeneity in the effects of parental separation by socio-economic background should be interpreted.
近年来,研究人员越来越关注父母离异对孩子学业成就的影响如何随社会背景而变化。一方面,资源更多的父母可能更有能力防止诸如离异等可能的不利事件影响孩子的发展结果。另一方面,来自较高社会背景的孩子可能因父母离异而失去更多资源。关于这个问题的大量实证研究得出了不一致的结论,两种观点都有支持依据。本文的目的是考察方法和操作选择对不同研究结果的影响。我们关注的方面包括关键变量的操作化、绝对和相对不平等的衡量以及处理内生性的不同策略。我们研究了父母离异对1970年出生的一群英国儿童学业成就的影响,发现结论会因社会背景是用母亲还是父亲的特征来衡量,以及是考虑群体间的相对差异还是绝对差异而有所不同。结果对因变量的操作化和缺失数据的处理相对不敏感。使用《理解社会》的数据而非英国队列研究的数据时,结果也没有变化。我们思考这些发现如何解释早期关于该主题研究的矛盾结果,以及如何解读父母离异影响因社会经济背景而异的异质性。