Cai Wen, Zhang Jin, Chen Yonghui, Kong Wen, Huang Yiran, Huang Jiwei, Zhou Lixin
Department of Urology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 160 Pujian Rd., Pudong District, Shanghai, 200127, P. R. China.
Chin J Cancer. 2017 May 18;36(1):47. doi: 10.1186/s40880-017-0214-7.
Hypoalbuminemia adversely affects the clinical outcomes of various cancers. The purpose of this study was to estimate the prognostic value of hypoalbuminemia 3-5 weeks after treatment in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) who received sorafenib or sunitinib as first-line treatment.
In this single-center, retrospective study, we assessed the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of 184 mRCC patients who received first-line sorafenib or sunitinib treatment. PFS and OS were compared between patients with post-treatment hypoalbuminemia (post-treatment albumin level <36.4 g/L) and those with normal post-treatment albumin level (albumin level ≥36.4 g/L). The Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) risk model stratified mRCC patients into three risk categories. Prognostic values of all patient characteristics including MSKCC risk category were determined by using univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. Prognostic value was further determined using the Harrell concordance index and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
The median PFS and OS of the 184 patients were 11 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 9-12 months) and 23 months (95% CI 19-33 months), respectively. Patients with post-treatment hypoalbuminemia had significantly shorter median PFS (6 months [95% CI 5-7 months]) and OS (11 months [95% CI 9-15 months]) than patients who had normal post-treatment albumin levels (PFS: 12 months [95% CI 11-16 months], P < 0.001; OS: 31 months [95% CI 24-42 months], P < 0.001), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that post-treatment hypoalbuminemia was an independent predictor of PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.113; 95% CI 1.390-3.212; P < 0.001) and OS (HR, 2.388; 95% CI 1.591-3.585; P < 0.001). Post-treatment hypoalbuminemia could also be combined with the MSKCC risk category for better prediction about OS. The model that included post-treatment hypoalbuminemia and MSKCC risk category improved the predictive accuracy for PFS and OS (c-index: 0.68 and 0.73, respectively) compared with the basic MSKCC risk model (c-index: 0.67 and 0.70, respectively). The prognostic values for PFS and OS of the integrated MSKCC risk model involving post-treatment hypoalbuminemia were significantly more accurate than the basic MSKCC risk model using likelihood ratio analysis (both P < 0.001).
Post-treatment hypoalbuminemia can be considered an independent prognostic factor for patients with mRCC who undergo first-line treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Additionally, integrating post-treatment serum albumin level into the basic MSKCC risk model can improve the accuracy of this model in predicting patient overall survival and progression-free survival.
低白蛋白血症对多种癌症的临床结局产生不利影响。本研究旨在评估接受索拉非尼或舒尼替尼作为一线治疗的转移性肾细胞癌(mRCC)患者治疗后3至5周时低白蛋白血症的预后价值。
在这项单中心回顾性研究中,我们评估了184例接受一线索拉非尼或舒尼替尼治疗的mRCC患者的无进展生存期(PFS)和总生存期(OS)。比较治疗后低白蛋白血症患者(治疗后白蛋白水平<36.4 g/L)和治疗后白蛋白水平正常患者(白蛋白水平≥36.4 g/L)的PFS和OS。纪念斯隆凯特琳癌症中心(MSKCC)风险模型将mRCC患者分为三个风险类别。使用单因素和多因素Cox回归模型确定包括MSKCC风险类别在内的所有患者特征的预后价值。使用Harrell一致性指数和受试者工作特征曲线分析进一步确定预后价值。
184例患者的中位PFS和OS分别为11个月(95%置信区间[CI] 9 - 12个月)和23个月(95% CI 19 - 33个月)。治疗后低白蛋白血症患者的中位PFS(6个月[95% CI 5 - 7个月])和OS(11个月[95% CI 9 - 15个月])显著短于治疗后白蛋白水平正常的患者(PFS:12个月[95% CI 11 - 16个月],P < 0.001;OS:31个月[95% CI 24 - 42个月],P < 0.001)。多因素分析显示,治疗后低白蛋白血症是PFS(风险比[HR],2.113;95% CI 1.390 - 3.212;P < 0.001)和OS(HR,2.388;95% CI 1.591 - 3.585;P < 0.001)的独立预测因素。治疗后低白蛋白血症还可与MSKCC风险类别相结合,以更好地预测OS。与基本MSKCC风险模型(c指数分别为0.67和0.70)相比,纳入治疗后低白蛋白血症和MSKCC风险类别的模型提高了PFS和OS的预测准确性(c指数分别为0.68和0.73)。使用似然比分析,涉及治疗后低白蛋白血症的综合MSKCC风险模型对PFS和OS的预后价值明显比基本MSKCC风险模型更准确(均P < 0.001)。
治疗后低白蛋白血症可被视为接受酪氨酸激酶抑制剂一线治疗的mRCC患者的独立预后因素。此外,将治疗后血清白蛋白水平纳入基本MSKCC风险模型可提高该模型预测患者总生存期和无进展生存期的准确性。