Baumgaertner Bert O, Tyson Rebecca T, Krone Stephen M
Department of Politics and Philosophy, University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho, USA.
Department of Mathematics, University of British Columbia, Kelowna, British Columbia, Canada.
J Math Sociol. 2016;40(4):207-218. doi: 10.1080/0022250X.2016.1205049. Epub 2016 Sep 6.
Opinions are rarely binary; they can be held with different degrees of conviction, and this expanded attitude spectrum can affect the influence one opinion has on others. Our goal is to understand how different aspects of influence lead to recognizable spatio-temporal patterns of opinions and their strengths. To do this, we introduce a stochastic spatial agent-based model of opinion dynamics that includes a spectrum of opinion strengths and various possible rules for how the opinion strength of one individual affects the influence that this individual has on others. Through simulations, we find that even a small amount of amplification of opinion strength through interaction with like-minded neighbors can tip the scales in favor of polarization and deadlock.
观点很少是二元对立的;人们持有观点的信念程度各不相同,而这种扩展的态度范围会影响一种观点对其他观点的影响力。我们的目标是了解影响力的不同方面如何导致可识别的观点时空模式及其强度。为此,我们引入了一种基于随机空间主体的观点动态模型,该模型包括一系列观点强度以及关于一个人的观点强度如何影响其对他人影响力的各种可能规则。通过模拟,我们发现,即使通过与志同道合的邻居互动对观点强度进行少量放大,也可能打破平衡,导致两极分化和僵局。