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非重症急性肾损伤后的短期和长期预后

Short- and long-term outcomes after non-severe acute kidney injury.

作者信息

Arias-Cabrales Carlos, Rodríguez Eva, Bermejo Sheila, Sierra Adriana, Burballa Carla, Barrios Clara, Soler María José, Pascual Julio

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain.

Institute Mar for Medical Research, Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Clin Exp Nephrol. 2018 Feb;22(1):61-67. doi: 10.1007/s10157-017-1420-y. Epub 2017 May 27.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Severe acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD), cardiovascular events and increased mortality. However, little is known about the prognosis in hospitalized population suffering from non-severe AKI episodes. The aim of this study is to determine the impact of non-severe AKI episodes in cardiovascular events, mortality and CKD, on short and long term.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study to 360 patients who met the criteria for diagnosis of AKI according ADQI guidelines with full recovery of renal function after the AKI episode, admitted between January 2000 and December 2010 in our hospital. Follow-up was 4 years after the diagnosis of AKI. Covariates included demographic variables, baseline creatinine and diagnosis of comorbidities.

RESULTS

360 AKI survivor patients were included. Twenty five of them (6.7%) had developed CKD after 1-year follow-up. Hypertension (OR 1.62; 95% CI 1.2-2.6, p < 0.05) and serum creatinine >2.6 mg/dL in AKI (OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-3.7, p < 0.05) were independent risk factors. After 4-year follow-up, 40 patients (18.3%) had developed CKD; age >66 years was an independent risk factor (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.03-1.06, p < 0.05). Mortality rate at 4 years was 25.3% and was significantly higher in CKD patients (OR 4.3, 95% CI 1.13-4.90, p < 0.05) and patients >66 years (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.02-1.06, p < 0.05). The incidence of cardiovascular events also was higher in CKD patients than in non-CKD patients (62.7 vs. 21.7%, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Even after fully recovered non-severe AKI episodes, some patients develop CKD and those have an increase in the incidence of cardiovascular events and long-term mortality.

摘要

背景

严重急性肾损伤(AKI)与慢性肾脏病(CKD)、心血管事件及死亡率增加相关。然而,对于非严重AKI发作的住院患者的预后情况却知之甚少。本研究的目的是确定非严重AKI发作在短期和长期内对心血管事件、死亡率及CKD的影响。

方法

对2000年1月至2010年12月期间我院收治的360例符合AKI诊断标准且AKI发作后肾功能完全恢复的患者进行回顾性队列研究。随访时间为AKI诊断后4年。协变量包括人口统计学变量、基线肌酐水平及合并症诊断。

结果

纳入360例AKI存活患者。其中25例(6.7%)在1年随访后发生了CKD。高血压(比值比[OR]1.62;95%置信区间[CI]1.2 - 2.6,p < 0.05)及AKI时血清肌酐>2.6mg/dL(OR 1.7;95%CI 1.2 - 3.7,p < 0.05)为独立危险因素。4年随访后,40例(18.3%)发生了CKD;年龄>66岁是独立危险因素(OR 1.03,95%CI 1.03 - 1.06,p < 0.05)。4年死亡率为25.3%,在CKD患者中显著更高(OR 4.3,95%CI 1.13 - 4.90,p < 0.05),在年龄>66岁的患者中也更高(OR 1.12,95%CI 1.02 - 1.06,p < 0.05)。CKD患者的心血管事件发生率也高于非CKD患者(62.7%对21.7%,p < 0.05)。

结论

即使非严重AKI发作后完全恢复,部分患者仍会发生CKD,且这些患者的心血管事件发生率及长期死亡率会增加。

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