From the Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Epidemiology. 2017 Jul;28(4):540-547. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000649.
The sibling comparison design is an important epidemiologic tool to control for unmeasured confounding, in studies of the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. It is routinely argued that within-family associations are automatically controlled for all measured and unmeasured covariates that are shared (constant) within sets of siblings, such as early childhood environment and parental genetic makeup. However, an important lesson from modern causal inference theory is that not all types of covariate control are desirable. In particular, it has been argued that collider control always leads to bias, and that mediator control may or may not lead to bias, depending on the research question. In this article, we use directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to distinguish between shared confounders, shared mediators and shared colliders, and we examine which of these shared covariates the sibling comparison design really controls for.
同胞比较设计是一种重要的流行病学工具,可用于控制未测量的混杂因素,从而研究暴露对结果的因果效应。人们通常认为,在家庭内的关联中,所有在一组兄弟姐妹中共享(固定)的可测量和不可测量的协变量都会自动得到控制,例如儿童早期环境和父母的遗传构成。然而,现代因果推理理论的一个重要教训是,并非所有类型的协变量控制都是理想的。特别是,有人认为,共发器控制总是会导致偏差,而中介器控制可能会也可能不会导致偏差,具体取决于研究问题。在本文中,我们使用有向无环图(DAG)来区分共享混杂因素、共享中介因素和共享共发器,并研究同胞比较设计实际上控制了哪些这些共享协变量。