Silas Olugbenga Akindele, Achenbach Chad J, Hou Lifang, Murphy Robert L, Egesie Julie O, Sagay Solomon A, Agbaji Oche O, Agaba Patricia E, Musa Jonah, Manasseh Agabus N, Jatau Ezra D, Dauda Ayuba M, Akanbi Maxwell O, Mandong Barnabas M
Pathology Department, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Jos/Jos University Teaching Hospital, Jos, Plateau State Nigeria.
Feinberg School of Medicine, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University and Center for Global Health, Chicago, Illinois USA.
Infect Agent Cancer. 2017 Jun 5;12:34. doi: 10.1186/s13027-017-0144-7. eCollection 2017.
Lymphoma is a leading cause of cancer-related death among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals in the current era of potent anti-retroviral therapy (ART). Globally, mortality after HIV-associated lymphoma has profound regional variation. Little is known about HIV-associated lymphoma mortality in Nigeria and other resource-limited setting in sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, we evaluated the all-cause mortality after lymphoma and associated risk factors including HIV at the Jos University Teaching Hospital (JUTH) Nigeria.
We conducted a ten-year retrospective cohort study of lymphoma patients managed in JUTH. The main outcome measured was all-cause mortality and HIV infection was the main exposure variable. Overall death rate was estimated using the total number of death events and cumulative follow up time from lymphoma diagnosis to death. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to assess factors associated with mortality after lymphoma diagnosis.
Out of 40 lymphoma patients evaluated, 8(20.0%) were HIV positive and 32(80.0%) were HIV negative. After 127.63 person- years of follow-up, there were 16 deaths leading to a crude mortality rate of 40.0 per 100 person-years. The 2-year probability of survival was 30% for HIV-infected patients and 74% for HIV-uninfected. Median survival probability for HIV-infected patients was 2.1 years and 7.6 years for those without HIV. Unadjusted hazard of death was associated with late stage, HR 11.33(95% CI 2.55, 50.26, = 0.001); low cumulative cycles of chemotherapy, HR 6.43(95% CI 1.80, 22.89, = 0.004); greater age, HR 5.12(95% CI 1.45,18.08, = 0.01); presence of comorbidity, HR 3.43(95% CI 1.10,10.78, = 0.03); and HIV-infection, HR 3.32(95% CI 1.05, 10.51, = 0.04). In an adjusted model only stage was significantly associated with death, AHR 5.45(1.14-26.06, = 0.03).
Our findings suggest that HIV- infection accounted for three times probability of death in lymphoma patients compared to their HIV-uninfected counterparts due to late stage of lymphoma presentation in this population. Also initiation of chemotherapy was associated with lower probability of death among lymphoma patients managed at JUTH, Nigeria. Earlier stage at lymphoma diagnosis and prompt therapeutic intervention is likely to improve survival in these patients. Future research should undertake collaborative studies to obtain comprehensive regional data and identify unique risk factors of poor outcomes among HIV-infected patients with lymphoma in Nigeria.
在当前强效抗逆转录病毒疗法(ART)时代,淋巴瘤是人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)感染者中癌症相关死亡的主要原因。在全球范围内,HIV相关淋巴瘤后的死亡率存在显著的地区差异。对于尼日利亚及撒哈拉以南非洲其他资源有限地区的HIV相关淋巴瘤死亡率知之甚少。因此,我们在尼日利亚乔斯大学教学医院(JUTH)评估了淋巴瘤后的全因死亡率及包括HIV在内的相关危险因素。
我们对在JUTH接受治疗的淋巴瘤患者进行了为期十年的回顾性队列研究。主要测量的结局是全因死亡率,HIV感染是主要的暴露变量。使用死亡事件总数和从淋巴瘤诊断到死亡的累积随访时间来估计总体死亡率。采用Cox比例风险回归评估淋巴瘤诊断后与死亡率相关的因素。
在评估的40例淋巴瘤患者中,8例(20.0%)HIV呈阳性,32例(80.0%)HIV呈阴性。经过127.63人年的随访,有16例死亡,粗死亡率为每100人年40.0例。HIV感染患者的2年生存概率为30%,未感染HIV患者为74%。HIV感染患者的中位生存概率为2.1年,未感染HIV患者为7.6年。未经调整的死亡风险与晚期相关,风险比(HR)为11.33(95%置信区间[CI]为2.55, 50.26,P = 0.001);化疗累积周期数少,HR为6.43(95%CI为1.80, 22.89,P = 0.004);年龄较大,HR为5.12(95%CI为1.45, 18.08,P = 0.01);存在合并症,HR为3.43(95%CI为1.10, 10.78,P = 0.03);以及HIV感染,HR为3.32(95%CI为1.05, 10.51,P = 0.04)。在调整模型中,仅分期与死亡显著相关,调整后风险比(AHR)为5.45(1.14 - 26.06,P = 0.03)。
我们的研究结果表明由于该人群中淋巴瘤呈现晚期,与未感染HIV的淋巴瘤患者相比,HIV感染使淋巴瘤患者的死亡概率增加了两倍。此外,在尼日利亚JUTH接受治疗的淋巴瘤患者中,开始化疗与较低的死亡概率相关。淋巴瘤诊断时的早期阶段和及时的治疗干预可能会改善这些患者的生存。未来的研究应开展合作研究以获取全面的区域数据,并确定尼日利亚HIV感染的淋巴瘤患者预后不良的独特危险因素。