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环境评估的证据权重框架:推断数量

A weight of evidence framework for environmental assessments: Inferring quantities.

作者信息

Suter Glenn, Cormier Susan, Barron Mace

机构信息

US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, National Center for Environmental Assessment, Cincinnati, Ohio.

US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental, Effects Research Laboratory, Gulf Ecology Division, Gulf Breeze, Florida.

出版信息

Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2017 Nov;13(6):1045-1051. doi: 10.1002/ieam.1953. Epub 2017 Jul 21.

Abstract

The US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) has developed a generally applicable framework for a weight-of-evidence (WoE) process for deriving quantitative values from multiple estimates. These guidelines are intended for environmental assessments that require the generation of quantitative parameters such as degradation rates or that develop quantitative products such as criterion values or magnitudes of effects. The basic steps are to weigh evidence for the environmental quality to be quantified, generate the value by merging estimates or by identifying the best estimate, and weight the results to determine confidence in the numerical value. When multiple data sets or outputs of multiple models are available, it may be appropriate to weigh the evidence. Use of the framework to weigh multiple estimates may increase the accuracy of quantitative results compared to a single estimate from a default method. Its use can provide greater transparency compared to ad hoc weighing of evidence. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2017;13:1045-1051. Published 2017. This article is a US Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.

摘要

美国环境保护局(USEPA)已制定了一个普遍适用的证据权重(WoE)流程框架,用于从多个估计值中得出定量数值。这些指南适用于需要生成降解率等定量参数或制定诸如准则值或影响程度等定量产品的环境评估。基本步骤是权衡待量化环境质量的证据,通过合并估计值或确定最佳估计值来生成数值,并权衡结果以确定对该数值的置信度。当有多个数据集或多个模型的输出时,权衡证据可能是合适的。与默认方法的单一估计值相比,使用该框架权衡多个估计值可能会提高定量结果的准确性。与临时权衡证据相比,使用该框架可以提供更高的透明度。《综合环境评估与管理》2017年;13:1045 - 1051。2017年发表。本文是美国政府的作品,在美国属于公共领域。

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本文引用的文献

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