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心理老化研究中的定量方法:简要回顾。

Quantitative Methods in Psychological Aging Research: A Mini-Review.

机构信息

Faculty of Psychology and Educational Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

出版信息

Gerontology. 2017;63(6):529-537. doi: 10.1159/000477582. Epub 2017 Jun 17.

Abstract

As research on psychological aging moves forward, it is increasingly important to accurately assess longitudinal changes in psychological processes and to account for their (often complex) associations with sociodemographic, lifestyle, and health-related variables. Traditional statistical methods, though time tested and well documented, are not always satisfactory for meeting these aims. In this mini-review, we therefore focus the discussion on recent statistical advances that may be of benefit to researchers in psychological aging but that remain novel in our area of study. We first compare two methods for the treatment of incomplete data, a common problem in longitudinal research. We then discuss robust statistics, which address the question of what to do when critical assumptions of a standard statistical test are not met. Next, we discuss two approaches that are promising for accurately describing phenomena that do not unfold linearly over time: nonlinear mixed-effects models and (generalized) additive models. We conclude by discussing recursive partitioning methods, as these are particularly well suited for exploring complex relations among large sets of variables.

摘要

随着心理老化研究的不断推进,准确评估心理过程的纵向变化并解释其与社会人口统计学、生活方式和健康相关变量的(通常复杂的)关联变得越来越重要。尽管传统的统计方法经过了时间的考验并且有充分的记录,但它们并不总是能满足这些目标。因此,在本篇迷你综述中,我们将重点讨论一些可能对心理老化研究人员有帮助但在我们的研究领域仍较新颖的最新统计进展。我们首先比较了两种处理不完全数据的方法,这是纵向研究中常见的问题。然后,我们讨论了稳健统计学,它解决了当标准统计检验的关键假设不成立时该怎么办的问题。接下来,我们讨论了两种在准确描述随时间非线性展开的现象方面很有前途的方法:非线性混合效应模型和(广义)加性模型。最后,我们讨论了递归划分方法,因为这些方法特别适合探索大量变量之间的复杂关系。

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