Xu Yan, Cai Yanpeng, Sun Tao, Tan Qian
State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
State Key Laboratory of Water Environment Simulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Institute for Energy, Environment and Sustainable Communities, University of Regina, 120, 2 Research Drive, Regina, Saskatchewan S4S 7H9, Canada; Beijing Engineering Research Center for Watershed Environmental Restoration & Integrated Ecological Regulation, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2017 Sep 15;122(1-2):27-37. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.05.065. Epub 2017 Jun 19.
In this paper, an improved multi-scale integrated modeling framework has been established to evaluate coastal reclamation intensity (CRI). About 7 indicators are considered, including ecological degradation intensity (EDI), hydrodynamic disturbance (IHD), engineering types, water quality, economic investment, population growth, and reclaimed land area. Meanwhile, an integrated framework enhanced methods in terms of (a) measuring intensity of ecological degradation process under multi-scale impact, (b) developing the indicator system of CRI, and discussing the driving forces and trends of coastal reclamation, (c) determining fuzzy preference relations of weight and calculating the specific value of CRI with the case study areas of Yellow River estuary from 2000 to 2015. As the result, the CRI has been expanded unceasingly in recent years. The total growth rate from 2000 to 2015 is about 37.97%. It is concluded that CRI has climbed to a higher intensity level in resent 15years.
本文建立了一个改进的多尺度综合建模框架来评估围填海强度（CRI）。考虑了约7个指标，包括生态退化强度（EDI）、水动力扰动（IHD）、工程类型、水质、经济投资、人口增长和围填海面积。同时，一个综合框架在以下方面增强了方法：（a）测量多尺度影响下的生态退化过程强度；（b）建立围填海强度指标体系，并讨论围填海的驱动力和趋势；（c）确定权重的模糊偏好关系，并以2000年至2015年黄河口案例研究区计算围填海强度的具体值。结果表明，近年来围填海强度不断扩大。2000年至2015年的总增长率约为37.97%。得出结论，在最近15年里围填海强度已攀升至更高强度水平。
