Clinical surrogate markers for predicting metabolic syndrome in middle-aged and elderly Chinese.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: The present study evaluated the ability of lipid accumulation product (LAP), visceral adiposity index (VAI), and the product of triglycerides and glucose (TyG), three novel markers, in identifying metabolic syndrome (MetS) with different criteria in middle-aged and elderly Chinese.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

During June 2012 to January 2013, 992 consecutive patients (age ≥40 years) were enrolled at Daping Hospital. The criteria of MetS were based on the International Diabetes Federation and the modified National Cholesterol Education Program's Adult Treatment Panel III. VAI, LAP and TyG were computed based on a published mathematical model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of MetS was 42.8%. The receiver operating characteristic curve found LAP, VAI and TyG were positively related to MetS in both criteria. The optimal cut-offs of VAI, LAP and TyG for the modified National Cholesterol Education Program's Adult Treatment Panel III and International Diabetes Federation criteria were 2.015, 31.465 and 8.706, and 2.035, 37.99 and 8.697, respectively. After adjustment of potential confounding factors, VAI, LAP and TyG were significantly correlated with MetS in all criteria according to optimal cut-offs. For MetS, reliable predictive value was observed in different subgroups (age and sex). LAP showed the greatest area under the curve in MetS with the International Diabetes Federation definition (area under the curve 0.887, 95% confidence interval 0.852-0.922).

CONCLUSIONS

AP, VAI and TyG were reliable surrogate markers for identifying MetS in middle-aged and elderly Chinese. LAP could be a better parameter than VAI and TyG for predicting MetS in the present study.