Huxley Nicola, Crathorne Louise, Varley-Campbell Jo, Tikhonova Irina, Snowsill Tristan, Briscoe Simon, Peters Jaime, Bond Mary, Napier Mark, Hoyle Martin
Peninsula Technology Assessment Group (PenTAG), University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.
Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Foundation Trust, Exeter, UK.
Health Technol Assess. 2017 Jun;21(38):1-294. doi: 10.3310/hta21380.
Colorectal cancer is the fourth most commonly diagnosed cancer in the UK after breast, lung and prostate cancer. People with metastatic disease who are sufficiently fit are usually treated with active chemotherapy as first- or second-line therapy. Targeted agents are available, including the antiepidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) agents cetuximab (Erbitux, Merck Serono UK Ltd, Feltham, UK) and panitumumab (Vecitibix, Amgen UK Ltd, Cambridge, UK).
To investigate the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of panitumumab in combination with chemotherapy and cetuximab in combination with chemotherapy for rat sarcoma () wild-type (WT) patients for the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer.
The assessment included a systematic review of clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness studies, a review and critique of manufacturer submissions, and a de novo cohort-based economic analysis. For the assessment of effectiveness, a literature search was conducted up to 27 April 2015 in a range of electronic databases, including MEDLINE, EMBASE and The Cochrane Library.
Studies were included if they were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or systematic reviews of RCTs of cetuximab or panitumumab in participants with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer with WT status. All steps in the review were performed by one reviewer and checked independently by a second. Narrative synthesis and network meta-analyses (NMAs) were conducted for outcomes of interest. An economic model was developed focusing on first-line treatment and using a 30-year time horizon to capture costs and benefits. Costs and benefits were discounted at 3.5% per annum. Scenario analyses and probabilistic and univariate deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed.
The searches identified 2811 titles and abstracts, of which five clinical trials were included. Additional data from these trials were provided by the manufacturers. No data were available for panitumumab plus irinotecan-based chemotherapy (folinic acid + 5-fluorouracil + irinotecan) (FOLFIRI) in previously untreated patients. Studies reported results for WT subgroups. First-line treatment with anti-EGFR therapies in combination with chemotherapy appeared to have statistically significant benefits for patients who are WT. For the independent economic evaluation, the base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for WT patients for cetuximab plus oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy (folinic acid + 5-fluorouracil + oxaliplatin) (FOLFOX) compared with FOLFOX was £104,205 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained; for panitumumab plus FOLFOX compared with FOLFOX was £204,103 per QALY gained; and for cetuximab plus FOLFIRI compared with FOLFIRI was £122,554 per QALY gained. The ICERs were sensitive to treatment duration, progression-free survival, overall survival (resected patients only) and resection rates.
The trials included WT populations only as subgroups. No evidence was available for panitumumab plus FOLFIRI. Two networks were used for the NMA and model, based on the different chemotherapies (FOLFOX and FOLFIRI), as insufficient evidence was available to the assessment group to connect these networks.
Although cetuximab and panitumumab in combination with chemotherapy appear to be clinically beneficial for WT patients compared with chemotherapy alone, they are likely to represent poor value for money when judged by cost-effectiveness criteria currently used in the UK. It would be useful to conduct a RCT in patients with WT.
This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42015016111.
The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
在英国,结直肠癌是继乳腺癌、肺癌和前列腺癌之后第四大最常被诊断出的癌症。身体状况足够良好的转移性疾病患者通常接受积极的化疗作为一线或二线治疗。目前已有靶向药物,包括抗表皮生长因子受体(EGFR)药物西妥昔单抗(爱必妥,默克雪兰诺英国有限公司,英国费尔特姆)和帕尼单抗(维克替比,安进英国有限公司,英国剑桥)。
研究帕尼单抗联合化疗以及西妥昔单抗联合化疗用于鼠肉瘤()野生型(WT)患者一线治疗转移性结直肠癌的临床有效性和成本效益。
评估包括对临床有效性和成本效益研究的系统评价、对制造商提交资料的审查和评论,以及基于队列的全新经济分析。为评估有效性,截至2015年4月27日在一系列电子数据库中进行了文献检索,包括MEDLINE、EMBASE和考克兰图书馆。
纳入的研究需为西妥昔单抗或帕尼单抗用于既往未治疗的转移性结直肠癌WT状态参与者的随机对照试验(RCT)或RCT的系统评价。综述的所有步骤由一名审查员执行,并由另一名审查员独立检查。对感兴趣的结局进行叙述性综合分析和网状Meta分析(NMA)。开发了一个侧重于一线治疗的经济模型,并采用30年的时间跨度来计算成本和效益。成本和效益按每年3.5%进行贴现。进行了情景分析以及概率和单变量确定性敏感性分析。
检索到2811篇标题和摘要,其中纳入了5项临床试验。制造商提供了这些试验的额外数据。对于既往未治疗的患者,没有关于帕尼单抗联合基于伊立替康的化疗(亚叶酸钙 + 5 - 氟尿嘧啶 + 伊立替康)(FOLFIRI)的数据。研究报告了WT亚组的结果。抗EGFR疗法联合化疗用于一线治疗似乎对WT患者具有统计学上的显著益处。对于独立的经济评估,西妥昔单抗联合基于奥沙利铂的化疗(亚叶酸钙 + 5 - 氟尿嘧啶 + 奥沙利铂)(FOLFOX)与FOLFOX相比,WT患者的基础病例增量成本效益比(ICER)为每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)104,205英镑;帕尼单抗联合FOLFOX与FOLFOX相比为每QALY 204,103英镑;西妥昔单抗联合FOLFIRI与FOLFIRI相比为每QALY 122,554英镑。ICER对治疗持续时间、无进展生存期、总生存期(仅手术切除患者)和切除率敏感。
试验仅将WT人群作为亚组纳入。没有关于帕尼单抗联合FOLFIRI的证据。基于不同的化疗方案(FOLFOX和FOLFIRI),NMA和模型使用了两个网络,因为评估小组没有足够的证据将这些网络联系起来。
尽管与单纯化疗相比,西妥昔单抗和帕尼单抗联合化疗似乎对WT患者具有临床益处,但根据英国目前使用的成本效益标准判断,它们可能性价比不佳。对WT患者进行RCT将是有益的。
本研究注册为PROSPERO CRD42015016111。
英国国家卫生研究院卫生技术评估项目。