Division of Hematology and Oncology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin
Division of Hematology and Oncology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
J Natl Compr Canc Netw. 2017 Jul;15(7):894-902. doi: 10.6004/jnccn.2017.0122.
An objective measure is needed to identify frail older adults with cancer who are at increased risk for poor health outcomes. The primary objective of this study was to develop a frailty index from a cancer-specific geriatric assessment (GA) and evaluate its ability to predict all-cause mortality among older adults with cancer. Using a unique and novel data set that brings together GA data with cancer-specific and long-term mortality data, we developed the Carolina Frailty Index (CFI) from a cancer-specific GA based on the principles of deficit accumulation. CFI scores (range, 0-1) were categorized as robust (0-0.2), pre-frail (0.2-0.35), and frail (>0.35). The primary outcome for evaluating predictive validity was all-cause mortality. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests were used to compare survival between frailty groups, and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate associations. In our sample of 546 older adults with cancer, the median age was 72 years, 72% were women, 85% were white, and 47% had a breast cancer diagnosis. Overall, 58% of patients were robust, 24% were pre-frail, and 18% were frail. The estimated 5-year survival rate was 72% in robust patients, 58% in pre-frail patients, and 34% in frail patients (log-rank test, <.0001). Frail patients had more than a 2-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality compared with robust patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.51-3.68). The CFI was predictive of all-cause mortality in older adults with cancer, a finding that was independent of age, sex, cancer type and stage, and number of medical comorbidities. The CFI has the potential to become a tool that oncologists can use to objectively identify frailty in older adults with cancer.
需要一种客观的衡量标准来识别患有癌症的体弱老年人,这些老年人健康状况不佳的风险增加。本研究的主要目的是从癌症特异性老年评估(GA)中开发出一种虚弱指数,并评估其预测癌症老年患者全因死亡率的能力。
使用独特新颖的数据集合,将 GA 数据与癌症特异性和长期死亡率数据相结合,我们根据缺陷积累原则从癌症特异性 GA 中开发出了卡罗莱纳虚弱指数(CFI)。CFI 评分(范围 0-1)分为稳健(0-0.2)、轻度虚弱(0.2-0.35)和虚弱(>0.35)。评估预测有效性的主要结果是全因死亡率。Kaplan-Meier 方法和对数秩检验用于比较虚弱组之间的生存情况,Cox 比例风险回归模型用于评估关联。
在我们的 546 名癌症老年患者样本中,中位年龄为 72 岁,72%为女性,85%为白人,47%患有乳腺癌。总体而言,58%的患者身体健壮,24%为轻度虚弱,18%为虚弱。身体健壮的患者估计 5 年生存率为 72%,轻度虚弱的患者为 58%,虚弱的患者为 34%(对数秩检验,<.0001)。与身体健壮的患者相比,虚弱的患者全因死亡率的风险增加了两倍多(调整后的危险比,2.36;95%CI,1.51-3.68)。
CFI 可预测癌症老年患者的全因死亡率,这一发现独立于年龄、性别、癌症类型和分期以及合并症数量。CFI 有可能成为肿瘤学家用来客观识别癌症老年患者虚弱的工具。
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