Murphy J, Austin J
Neuroepidemiology. 1985;4(3):138-45. doi: 10.1159/000110225.
This report describes an approach to determine which of 2 possible etiologies could be responsible for a disease, in this instance acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM). Information about latency periods was obtained from eighteen reference sources in the literature. Analysis of these data indicate that it would be 9-18 times more likely for ADEM to develop 5 days after a wild virus infection (measles, for example) than 28 days after a vaccination.
本报告描述了一种确定两种可能病因中哪一种可能导致某种疾病的方法，在此病例中为急性播散性脑脊髓炎（ADEM）。关于潜伏期的信息取自文献中的18个参考来源。对这些数据的分析表明，ADEM在野生病毒感染（例如麻疹）后5天发生的可能性比接种疫苗后28天发生的可能性高9至18倍。
