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患者再次住院——一项队列研究。

Readmission to hospital of medical patients - A cohort study.

机构信息

Faculty of Health and Medical Science, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Research, Nordsjællands Hospital, Hillerød, Denmark.

Faculty of Health and Medical Science, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Medicine, Herlev Gentofte Hospital, Gentofte, Denmark.

出版信息

Eur J Intern Med. 2017 Dec;46:19-24. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2017.07.008. Epub 2017 Jul 16.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of acute readmissions is higher among elderly medical patients than in the general population. Risk factor identification is needed in order to prevent readmissions.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the incidence of acute readmissions among medical patients ≥65years discharged from departments of internal medicine and to identify risk factors associated with readmissions.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We included patients discharged between 1st of January 2011 and 1st of December 2014 and collected data regarding primary diagnosis and comorbidities. The primary outcome was acute readmission within 30days of discharge. We determined risk factors using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Out of 21,634 discharged patients, 3432 (15.9%) patients had an acute readmission. Risk factors were: age per decade (HR: 1.06, 95%CI: 1.02-1.11), male sex (HR: 1.07, 95%CI: 1.00-1.15), receiving home care service (personal care) (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.15-1.55), nursing home residency (HR: 1.30, 95%CI: 1.14-1.48), a previous admission within six months (HR: 1.59, 95%CI: 1.48-1.72), increased length of index admission (HR: 1.14, 95%CI: 1.11-1.17), and moderate or high level of comorbidities (HR: 1.22, 95%CI: 1.13-1.32, HR: 1.52, 95%CI: 1.38-1.67, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Around one in six patients had an acute readmission and we identified several risk factors. The risk factors a previous hospital admission within six months, a long or very long length of index admission and a high level of comorbidities were strong risk factors for an acute readmission.

摘要

引言

老年内科患者的急性再入院率高于普通人群。需要识别风险因素以预防再入院。

目的

估计从内科部门出院的≥65 岁内科患者的急性再入院率,并确定与再入院相关的风险因素。

材料和方法

我们纳入了 2011 年 1 月 1 日至 2014 年 12 月 1 日期间出院的患者,并收集了主要诊断和合并症的数据。主要结局是出院后 30 天内的急性再入院。我们使用多变量 Cox 比例风险模型确定风险因素。

结果

在 21634 名出院患者中,有 3432 名(15.9%)患者发生急性再入院。风险因素包括:每十年一个年龄组(HR:1.06,95%CI:1.02-1.11),男性(HR:1.07,95%CI:1.00-1.15),接受家庭护理服务(个人护理)(HR:1.33,95%CI:1.15-1.55),养老院居住(HR:1.30,95%CI:1.14-1.48),6 个月内的先前入院(HR:1.59,95%CI:1.48-1.72),指数入院时间延长(HR:1.14,95%CI:1.11-1.17),以及中度或高度合并症(HR:1.22,95%CI:1.13-1.32,HR:1.52,95%CI:1.38-1.67)。

结论

大约六分之一的患者发生了急性再入院,我们确定了几个风险因素。6 个月内的先前住院、较长或非常长的指数住院时间和较高的合并症水平是急性再入院的强烈风险因素。

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