Chng Grace S, Chu Chi Meng, Zeng Gerald, Li Dongdong, Ting Ming Hwa
Centre for Research on Rehabilitation and Protection, Ministry of Social and Family Development, Singapore, Singapore.
J Res Crime Delinq. 2016 Nov;53(6):765-787. doi: 10.1177/0022427816644947. Epub 2016 Apr 24.
There were two aims to this study: firstly, to identify family subtypes of Singaporean youth offenders based on eight family variables. Secondly, the associations of these family subtypes with youth offending outcomes were tested.
With a sample of 3,744 youth, a latent class analysis was first conducted based on eight family variables. Multivariate analyses and a Cox regression were subsequently performed to analyze the associations of the family classes with age at first arrest, age at first charge, and recidivism.
A three-class solution was found to have the best fit to the data: (1) intact functioning families had little family risk; (2) families with criminality had higher probabilities of family criminality, of drug/alcohol abuse, and of being nonintact; and (3) poorly managed families received the poorest parenting and were more likely to be nonintact. Youth offenders from the latter two classes were arrested and charged at younger ages. Additionally, they reoffended at a quicker rate.
Family backgrounds matter for youth offending outcomes. Interventions have to be multifaceted and targeted at the family in order to mitigate the risk of young offenders from developing into pathological adult criminals.
本研究有两个目标：第一，基于八个家庭变量确定新加坡青少年罪犯的家庭亚型。第二，检验这些家庭亚型与青少年犯罪结果之间的关联。
以3744名青少年为样本，首先基于八个家庭变量进行潜在类别分析。随后进行多变量分析和Cox回归，以分析家庭类别与首次被捕年龄、首次被指控年龄和再犯之间的关联。
发现三类解决方案与数据拟合度最佳：（1）完整功能家庭的家庭风险较小；（2）有犯罪行为的家庭发生家庭犯罪、药物/酒精滥用以及家庭不完整的概率更高；（3）管理不善的家庭育儿方式最差，且更有可能家庭不完整。后两类家庭的青少年罪犯被捕和被指控的年龄更小。此外，他们再次犯罪的速度更快。
家庭背景对青少年犯罪结果至关重要。干预措施必须是多方面的，并以家庭为目标，以降低青少年罪犯发展成为病态成年罪犯的风险。
