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受感染威胁的养猪帝国:非洲猪瘟传入中华人民共和国的风险。

Pig empire under infectious threat: risk of African swine fever introduction into the People's Republic of China.

作者信息

Vergne Timothée, Chen-Fu Cao, Li Shuo, Cappelle Julien, Edwards John, Martin Vincent, Pfeiffer Dirk Udo, Fusheng Guo, Roger Francois Louis

机构信息

Department of Veterinary Clinical Sciences, Royal Veterinary College, Hatfield, UK.

Shenzhen Entry Exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau, Shenzhen, China.

出版信息

Vet Rec. 2017 Jul 29;181(5):117. doi: 10.1136/vr.103950.

Abstract

Pig production and pork consumption are very important to the People's Republic of China for both economic and cultural reasons. The incursion and spread of a disease such as African swine fever (ASF), which emerged in Eastern Europe in 2007, could have devastating socioeconomic consequences for both the Chinese and the global pig industry. The Chinese government consequently attributes a very high priority to ASF and is actively seeking to improve its preparedness. This paper discusses different drivers and pathways of potential emergence of ASF in China in light of the country's specificities, including international movements of people, pigs and pig products, swill feeding practices and wild boar populations. It suggests that effective ASF risk management in China will require a comprehensive and integrated approach linking science and policy and will need to involve all relevant stakeholders to develop realistic policies.

摘要

出于经济和文化原因,生猪生产和猪肉消费对中华人民共和国非常重要。2007年在东欧出现的非洲猪瘟(ASF)等疾病的入侵和传播,可能会给中国乃至全球养猪业带来毁灭性的社会经济后果。因此,中国政府将非洲猪瘟列为重中之重,并积极寻求提高应对能力。本文结合中国的具体情况,包括人员、生猪和猪产品的国际流动、泔水喂养习惯以及野猪种群等,探讨了非洲猪瘟在中国可能出现的不同驱动因素和传播途径。研究表明,中国有效的非洲猪瘟风险管理需要一种将科学与政策联系起来的全面综合方法,并且需要所有相关利益攸关方参与制定切实可行的政策。

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