Yang Qian, Rogers Tim, Dawes Jonathan H P
Centre for Networks and Collective Behaviour,Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath,Bath BA2 7AY, UK.
J Theor Biol. 2017 Nov 7;432:157-168. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.07.025. Epub 2017 Jul 28.
We study the phenomenon of cyclic dominance in the paradigmatic Rock-Paper-Scissors model, as occurring in both stochastic individual-based models of finite populations and in the deterministic replicator equations. The mean-field replicator equations are valid in the limit of large populations and, in the presence of mutation and unbalanced payoffs, they exhibit an attracting limit cycle. The period of this cycle depends on the rate of mutation; specifically, the period grows logarithmically as the mutation rate tends to zero. We find that this behaviour is not reproduced in stochastic simulations with a fixed finite population size. Instead, demographic noise present in the individual-based model dramatically slows down the progress of the limit cycle, with the typical period growing as the reciprocal of the mutation rate. Here we develop a theory that explains these scaling regimes and delineates them in terms of population size and mutation rate. We identify a further intermediate regime in which we construct a stochastic differential equation model describing the transition between stochastically-dominated and mean-field behaviour.
我们研究了典型的“石头-剪刀-布”模型中的循环优势现象,这种现象既出现在有限种群的随机个体模型中,也出现在确定性复制方程中。平均场复制方程在大种群极限情况下是有效的,并且在存在突变和不平衡收益的情况下,它们会表现出一个吸引极限环。这个环的周期取决于突变率;具体来说,当突变率趋于零时,周期呈对数增长。我们发现,在固定有限种群规模的随机模拟中,这种行为并未重现。相反,个体模型中存在的人口统计学噪声极大地减缓了极限环的进程,典型周期随着突变率的倒数而增长。在这里,我们发展了一种理论,解释了这些标度律,并根据种群规模和突变率对它们进行了描述。我们还确定了另一个中间区域,在这个区域中,我们构建了一个随机微分方程模型,描述了随机主导行为和平均场行为之间的转变。