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精英的成功是否会引发大众参与乒乓球运动?对德国、法国和奥地利滴漏效应的分析。

Does elite success trigger mass participation in table tennis? An analysis of trickle-down effects in Germany, France and Austria.

机构信息

a Institute of Sport Sciences , Goethe University , Frankfurt , Germany.

b Institute of Sport Science , Christian-Albrechts-University , Kiel , Germany.

出版信息

J Sports Sci. 2018 Dec;36(23):2760-2767. doi: 10.1080/02640414.2017.1361895. Epub 2017 Aug 2.

Abstract

There is a widespread belief that success at the elite level leads to increasing mass participation in sports. However, this assumption is merely supported by empirical evidence and is analyzed here for the case of table tennis. Therefore long-term data (1964-2014) on participation in Germany, France and Austria is statistically tested for effects of success by the countries' athletes at international competitions. Results indicate that no general trickle-down effect can be confirmed for table tennis in the countries observed. Rather, findings are ambivalent, as a strong positive effect was found for the Austrian case, but a paradox relation for the German case, where elite success has been accompanied by decreasing participation in the last decades. Accordingly, as an "automatic" trickle-down effect is unlikely, more specific analyses and strategies seem necessary to use elite success as a lever for the promotion of the sport.

摘要

有一种普遍的观点认为,精英层面的成功会导致越来越多的人参与体育运动。然而,这种假设仅仅得到了经验证据的支持,在这里我们将以乒乓球为例进行分析。因此,我们对德国、法国和奥地利长期以来(1964 年至 2014 年)的参与数据进行了统计分析,以检验国际比赛中运动员的成功对参与率的影响。结果表明,在所观察的国家中,乒乓球运动没有普遍的涓滴效应。相反,研究结果喜忧参半,因为奥地利的情况显示出了强烈的积极影响,但德国的情况却存在悖论,因为在过去几十年里,精英的成功伴随着参与率的下降。因此,由于不太可能产生“自动”的涓滴效应,因此似乎需要更具体的分析和策略,将精英的成功作为推动体育运动的杠杆。

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