Ferrante Daniela, Chellini Elisabetta, Merler Enzo, Pavone Venere, Silvestri Stefano, Miligi Lucia, Gorini Giuseppe, Bressan Vittoria, Girardi Paolo, Ancona Laura, Romeo Elisa, Luberto Ferdinando, Sala Orietta, Scarnato Corrado, Menegozzo Simona, Oddone Enrico, Tunesi Sara, Perticaroli Patrizia, Pettinari Aldo, Cuccaro Francesco, Mattioli Stefano, Baldassarre Antonio, Barone-Adesi Francesco, Cena Tiziana, Legittimo Patrizia, Marinaccio Alessandro, Mirabelli Dario, Musti Marina, Pirastu Roberta, Ranucci Alessandra, Magnani Corrado
Department of Translational Medicine, Unit of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Eastern Piedmont, and CPO-Piemonte, Novara, Italy.
Occupational & Environmental Epidemiology Unit, Cancer Prevention and Research Institute (ISPO), Florence, Italy.
Occup Environ Med. 2017 Dec;74(12):887-898. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2016-104100. Epub 2017 Aug 3.
Asbestos is a known human carcinogen, with evidence for malignant mesothelioma (MM), cancers of lung, ovary, larynx and possibly other organs. MM rates are predicted to increase with a power of time since first exposure (TSFE), but the possible long-term attenuation of the trend is debated. The asbestos ban enforced in Italy in 1992 gives an opportunity to measure long-term cancer risk in formerly exposed workers.
Pool of 43 previously studied Italian asbestos cohorts (asbestos cement, rolling stock, shipbuilding), with mortality follow-up updated to 2010. SMRs were computed for the 1970â€"2010 period, for the major causes, with consideration of duration and TSFE, using reference rates by age, sex, region and calendar period.
The study included 51 801 subjects (5741 women): 55.9% alive, 42.6% died (cause known for 95%) and 1.5% lost to follow-up. Mortality was significantly increased for all deaths (SMR: men: 1.05, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.06; women: 1.17, 95% CI to 1.12 to 1.22), all malignancies combined (SMR: men: 1.17, 95% CI to 1.14 to 1.20; women: 1.33, 95% CI 1.24 to 1.43), pleural and peritoneal malignancies (SMR: men: 13.28 and 4.77, 95% CI 12.24 to 14.37 and 4.00 to 5.64; women: 28.44 and 6.75, 95% CI 23.83 to 33.69 and 4.70 to 9.39), lung (SMR: men: 1.26, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.31; women: 1.43, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.78) and ovarian cancer (SMR=1.38, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.87) and asbestosis (SMR: men: 300.7, 95% CI 270.7 to 333.2; women: 389.6, 95% CI 290.1 to 512.3). Pleural cancer rate increased during the first 40 years of TSFE and reached a plateau after.
The study confirmed the increased risk for cancer of the lung, ovary, pleura and peritoneum but not of the larynx and the digestive tract. Pleural cancer mortality reached a plateau at long TSFE, coherently with recent reports.
石棉是一种已知的人类致癌物,有证据表明其与恶性间皮瘤(MM)、肺癌、卵巢癌、喉癌以及可能的其他器官癌症有关。预计MM发病率会随着自首次接触(TSFE)以来的时间呈幂次增长,但这种趋势可能的长期衰减存在争议。意大利1992年实施的石棉禁令为测量既往接触石棉工人的长期癌症风险提供了契机。
汇集43个先前研究过的意大利石棉队列(石棉水泥、铁路车辆、造船业),将死亡率随访更新至2010年。计算1970 - 2010年期间主要病因的标准化死亡比(SMR),考虑接触时长和TSFE,使用按年龄、性别、地区和日历期划分的参考率。
该研究纳入51801名受试者(5741名女性):55.9%存活,42.6%死亡(95%的死亡原因已知),1.5%失访。所有死亡(SMR:男性:1.05,95%置信区间1.03至1.06;女性:1.17,95%置信区间1.12至1.22)、所有恶性肿瘤合并(SMR:男性:1.17,95%置信区间1.14至1.20;女性:1.33,95%置信区间1.24至1.43)、胸膜和腹膜恶性肿瘤(SMR:男性:13.28和4.77,95%置信区间12.24至14.37和4. to 5.64;女性:28.44和6.75,95%置信区间23.83至33.69和4.70至9.39)、肺癌(SMR:男性:1.26,95%置信区间1.21至1.31;女性:1.43,95%置信区间1.13至1.78)和卵巢癌(SMR = 1.38,95%置信区间1.00至1.87)以及石棉肺(SMR:男性:300.7,95%置信区间270.7至333.2;女性:389.6,95%置信区间290.1至512.3)的死亡率均显著增加。胸膜癌发病率在TSFE的前40年上升,之后达到平稳状态。
该研究证实了肺癌、卵巢癌、胸膜和腹膜癌风险增加,但喉癌和消化道癌风险未增加。胸膜癌死亡率在长时间TSFE时达到平稳状态,与近期报告一致。