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中东欧的人口老龄化及其人口和社会背景。

Population ageing in Central and Eastern Europe and its demographic and social context.

作者信息

Botev Nikolai

机构信息

United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), Almaty, Kazakhstan.

出版信息

Eur J Ageing. 2012 Feb 9;9(1):69-79. doi: 10.1007/s10433-012-0217-9. eCollection 2012 Mar.

Abstract

The article focuses on several demographic and socio-economic idiosyncrasies in Central and Eastern Europe, which impact the process of population ageing and intergenerational relations. These include the adverse mortality trends and especially the excess male mortality in certain countries, which exacerbated sex differences in life expectancy beyond anything ever recorded in peace-time population history, the combination of natural population decrease and net emigration, the disordered cohort flows and the shorter generational length. The rapid demographic change in these countries coincided with political, economic and social transformations. The shock of the fall of communism affected differently younger people, who could relatively easily reorganize their life cycles so as to adapt to the changed circumstances, and older persons for whom such reorganization was more difficult, or even impossible. This created the possibility for the opening of an intergenerational rift, as older generations felt being the losers of the transition. The article explores the implications of these idiosyncrasies and social context for living arrangements, kin networks, individual wellbeing and inter-generational relations, and identifies areas where particular challenges are likely to be faced when it comes to policies and programs aimed at older persons.

摘要

本文聚焦于中东欧地区的若干人口和社会经济特性,这些特性影响着人口老龄化进程和代际关系。其中包括不利的死亡率趋势,尤其是某些国家男性死亡率过高,这加剧了预期寿命方面的性别差异,远超和平时期人口历史上的任何记录;自然人口减少与净移民相结合;无序的队列流动以及较短的代际长度。这些国家迅速的人口变化与政治、经济和社会转型同时发生。共产主义垮台带来的冲击对年轻人和老年人产生了不同影响,年轻人能够相对轻松地重新安排自己的生命周期以适应变化了的环境,而老年人进行这种重新安排则更加困难,甚至不可能。这就产生了代际裂痕出现的可能性,因为老一代感觉自己是转型的失败者。本文探讨了这些特性和社会背景对生活安排、亲属网络、个人福祉以及代际关系的影响,并确定了在针对老年人的政策和项目方面可能面临特殊挑战的领域。

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