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立陶宛的凶杀率

Homicide Rates in Lithuania.

作者信息

Chmieliauskas Sigitas, Laima Sigitas, Andriuskeviciute Gerda, Jurolaic Eleonora, Jasulaitis Algimantas

机构信息

Department of Pathology, Forensic Medicine and Pharmacology, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, M. K. Ciurlionio str. 21/27, Vilnius, Lithuania.

State Forensic Medicine Service, Didlaukio str. 86E, Vilnius, Lithuania.

出版信息

J Forensic Sci. 2018 May;63(3):724-727. doi: 10.1111/1556-4029.13618. Epub 2017 Aug 15.

Abstract

Homicide rate in Lithuania between 2004 and 2013 decreased and reached an average of 6.7 per 100,000 people in 2013. The data regarding forensic autopsies of intentional homicide victims were obtained from the State Forensic Medicine Service. Spearman's correlation test was used to assess trends in the homicide rates. A significant correlation was observed between homicide distribution and the following variables: Lithuania's gross domestic product (r = -0.85, p = 0.003), the number of alcohol intoxication cases of victims (r = 0.97, p < 0.05). After regression model adjustments, these variables remained significantly associated with the homicide distribution (p < 0.05). 73% of victims were men, with a mean age of 45.5 ± 15. Alcohol intoxication was present in 58% of victims. 66% of homicides were carried out indoors, 57% in urban area. The presented findings help decide which prevention programs may be the most effective in homicide rate reduction.

摘要

2004年至2013年间,立陶宛的凶杀率有所下降,2013年平均达到每10万人6.7起。故意杀人受害者的法医尸检数据来自国家法医学服务机构。采用斯皮尔曼相关性检验来评估凶杀率的趋势。观察到凶杀分布与以下变量之间存在显著相关性:立陶宛国内生产总值(r = -0.85,p = 0.003)、受害者酒精中毒病例数(r = 0.97,p < 0.05)。经过回归模型调整后,这些变量仍与凶杀分布显著相关(p < 0.05)。73%的受害者为男性,平均年龄为45.5±15岁。58%的受害者存在酒精中毒情况。66%的凶杀案发生在室内,57%发生在城市地区。所呈现的研究结果有助于确定哪些预防方案在降低凶杀率方面可能最为有效。

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