Levi Asaf, Sabuco Juan, A F Sanjuán Miguel
Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos and Complex Systems Group. Departamento de Física, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Tulipán s/n, 28933 Móstoles, Madrid, Spain.
Institute for Physical Science and Technology, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland 20742, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2017 Aug 23;12(8):e0181925. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0181925. eCollection 2017.
Market collapse is one of the most dramatic events in economics. Such a catastrophic event can emerge from the nonlinear interactions between the economic agents at the micro level of the economy. Transient chaos might be a good description of how a collapsing market behaves. In this work, we apply a new control method, the partial control method, with the goal of avoiding this disastrous event. Contrary to common control methods that try to influence the system from the outside, here the market is controlled from the bottom up by one of the most basic components of the market-the firm. This is the first time that the partial control method is applied on a strictly economical system in which we also introduce external disturbances. We show how the firm is capable of controlling the system avoiding the collapse by only adjusting the selling price of the product or the quantity of production in accordance to the market circumstances. Additionally, we demonstrate how a firm with a large market share is capable of influencing the demand achieving price stability across the retail and wholesale markets. Furthermore, we prove that the control applied in both cases is much smaller than the external disturbances.
市场崩溃是经济学中最引人注目的事件之一。这样一场灾难性事件可能源于经济微观层面经济主体之间的非线性相互作用。瞬态混沌或许能很好地描述崩溃中的市场的行为。在这项工作中,我们应用一种新的控制方法——部分控制方法,旨在避免这场灾难性事件。与试图从外部影响系统的常见控制方法不同,这里市场由市场最基本的组成部分之一——企业自下而上进行控制。这是部分控制方法首次应用于一个严格的经济系统,在该系统中我们还引入了外部干扰。我们展示了企业如何仅通过根据市场情况调整产品售价或产量就能控制该系统避免崩溃。此外,我们证明了市场份额大的企业能够影响需求,实现零售和批发市场的价格稳定。再者,我们证明在这两种情况下所应用的控制远小于外部干扰。