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持续完全的肾脏缓解是狼疮性肾炎降低死亡率、慢性肾脏病和终末期肾病的预测因素。

Sustained complete renal remission is a predictor of reduced mortality, chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease in lupus nephritis.

机构信息

University of Toronto Lupus Clinic, Toronto Western Hospital, Centre for Prognosis Studies in the Rheumatic Diseases, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

Lupus. 2018 Mar;27(3):468-474. doi: 10.1177/0961203317726376. Epub 2017 Aug 31.

Abstract

Objective The objective of this paper is to identify the relationship between patients with lupus nephritis (LN) who achieve sustained complete renal remission (CR) and renal outcome and survival. Methods From a longitudinal cohort study we identified patients with LN with CR. We compared the outcomes of patients who achieved sustained CR for at least five years (Group A) with those less than five years (Group B). The outcomes were death, SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI), renal flare, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 50 ml/min, and doubling of serum creatinine. Regression analyses were used to identify predictors of the outcomes. Results A total of 345 patients were identified, 132 patients in Group A and 213 patients in Group B. The duration of CR in Group A was 11.76 ± 7.34 years but only 1.24 ± 1.24 years in Group B ( p < 0.001). Death, increasing renal SDI, renal flare, renal transplantation, ESRD or eGFR < 50 ml/min, and doubling of serum creatinine in Group A were significantly lower than Group B. Multivariable analysis revealed that Group A patients were at a lower risk of death (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.20; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.07-0.61; p = 0.004), increasing renal SDI (HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21-0.76; p = 0.01), developing ESRD or eGFR < 50 ml/min (HR = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.12-0.61; p = 0.001), and doubling of serum creatinine (HR = 0.29; 95% CI, 0.14-0.61; p = 0.001) compared with Group B. Conclusion Sustained CR for at least five years is a predictor of better prognosis in patients with LN.

摘要

目的 本研究旨在确定狼疮肾炎(LN)患者达到持续完全缓解(CR)与肾脏结局和生存之间的关系。

方法 我们从一项纵向队列研究中确定了达到 CR 的 LN 患者。我们比较了持续 CR 至少 5 年(A 组)和不足 5 年(B 组)患者的结局。结局包括死亡、SLICC/ACR 损害指数(SDI)、肾复发、终末期肾病(ESRD)或估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)<50ml/min 和血清肌酐翻倍。回归分析用于确定结局的预测因素。

结果 共确定了 345 例患者,其中 A 组 132 例,B 组 213 例。A 组 CR 持续时间为 11.76±7.34 年,而 B 组仅为 1.24±1.24 年(p<0.001)。A 组死亡、SDI 增加、肾复发、肾移植、ESRD 或 eGFR<50ml/min 和血清肌酐翻倍的发生率明显低于 B 组。多变量分析显示,A 组患者死亡风险较低(风险比(HR)=0.20;95%置信区间(CI),0.07-0.61;p=0.004)、SDI 增加(HR=0.41;95%CI,0.21-0.76;p=0.01)、发生 ESRD 或 eGFR<50ml/min(HR=0.27;95%CI,0.12-0.61;p=0.001)和血清肌酐翻倍(HR=0.29;95%CI,0.14-0.61;p=0.001)的风险低于 B 组。

结论 持续 CR 至少 5 年是 LN 患者预后较好的预测因素。

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