Gundtoft Per Hviid
Dan Med J. 2017 Sep;64(9).
Prosthetic joint infection (PJI) is a rare, but devastating complication following primary total hip arthroplasty (THA). As PJI is a rare event, large cohorts of patients are required in order to study this complication. National arthroplasty registers offer such large and unselected cohorts, but studies have shown that these registers - used alone - underestimate the incidence of PJI. The aim of this thesis was to estimate the incidence of PJI and the mortality risk following a PJI by combining data from the Danish Hip Arthroplasty Register (DHR), the National Register of Patients (NRP), the Microbiology Databases, the Civil Registration System, the medical records, the Danish National Prescription Registry and the Clinical Biochemistry Databases. The thesis comprises the following four studies: Study I: The aim of this study was to estimate the "true" incidence of surgically treated PJI following primary THA. To estimate the true incidence, we developed an algorithm that classified the revisions as due to PJI or due to other causes. The algorithm incorporated data from the DHR, the NRP, medical records, the microbiological databases, the prescription database and the clinical biochemistry databases. The one- and five-year cumulative incidences were estimated to be 0.86% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.77; 0.97) and 1.03% (95% CI: 0.87; 1.22), respectively. These figures are approximately 40% higher than the equivalent figures re-ported by the DHR and the NRP. Study II: The aim of the second study was to validate the PJI diagnosis in the DHR. We did this by comparing the PJI diagnosis in the DHR with the PJI diagnosis derived from the algorithm developed in Study I. We found a sensitivity of 67%, a specificity of 95%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 77%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 92%. When the data from the DHR were linked with data from the microbiology databases, the sensitivity increased to 90% and the specificity also increased (to 100%) along with the PPV (98%) and the NPV (98%). Study III: The aim of the third study was to examine whether the incidence of PJI observed within the first year of primary THA in-creased in the course of the ten-year study period from 2005 to 2014. We used the validated PJI diagnosis described in Study II and found that the incidence of PJI did not appear to be increasing as the relative risk of PJI was 1.05 (95% CI: 0.82; 1.34) for the 2010-2014 period compared with the 2005-2010 period. Nor did we find any changes in the antimicrobial resistance pattern. Study IV: The aim of the fourth study was to estimate the mortality risk following a revision for PJI within one year following a primary THA. When combining data from the DHR with data from the microbiology databases, we found that the mortality risk of patients with a revision for PJI was 2.18 (95% CI: 1.54; 3.08) com-pared with the reference population, and 1.87 (95% CI: 1.11; 3.15) when compared with patients who had an aseptic revision. In conclusion, the incidence of PJI is approximately 40% higher than that reported by the NRP and the DHR. By linkage of the DHR and the microbiology databases, the validity of the PJI diagnosis can be improved notably. By such a combination of data from the DHR and the microbiology databases, we show that the incidence of PJI does not seem to be increasing and that revision for PJI is associated with a high mortality.
人工关节感染(PJI)是初次全髋关节置换术(THA)后一种罕见但极具破坏性的并发症。由于PJI是一种罕见事件,因此需要大量患者队列来研究这种并发症。国家关节成形术登记处提供了如此庞大且未经筛选的队列,但研究表明,仅使用这些登记处的数据会低估PJI的发病率。本论文的目的是通过整合丹麦髋关节置换术登记处(DHR)、国家患者登记处(NRP)、微生物数据库、民事登记系统、病历、丹麦国家处方登记处和临床生物化学数据库的数据,来估计PJI的发病率以及PJI后的死亡风险。本论文包括以下四项研究:研究I:本研究的目的是估计初次THA后手术治疗的PJI的“真实”发病率。为了估计真实发病率,我们开发了一种算法,将翻修分类为由于PJI或其他原因。该算法纳入了来自DHR、NRP、病历、微生物数据库、处方数据库和临床生物化学数据库的数据。一年和五年累积发病率估计分别为0.86%(95%置信区间(CI):0.77;0.97)和1.03%(95%CI:0.87;1.22)。这些数字比DHR和NRP报告的相应数字高出约40%。研究II:第二项研究的目的是验证DHR中的PJI诊断。我们通过将DHR中的PJI诊断与研究I中开发的算法得出的PJI诊断进行比较来做到这一点。我们发现灵敏度为67%,特异度为95%,阳性预测值(PPV)为77%,阴性预测值(NPV)为92%。当将DHR的数据与微生物数据库的数据相链接时,灵敏度提高到90%,特异度也提高(到100%),同时PPV(98%)和NPV(98%)也提高。研究III:第三项研究的目的是检查在2005年至2014年的十年研究期间,初次THA后第一年内观察到的PJI发病率是否增加。我们使用了研究II中描述的经过验证的PJI诊断,发现PJI的发病率似乎没有增加,因为与2005 - 2010年期间相比,2010 - 2014年期间PJI的相对风险为1.05(95%CI:0.82;1.34)。我们也没有发现抗菌药物耐药模式有任何变化。研究IV:第四项研究的目的是估计初次THA后一年内因PJI进行翻修后的死亡风险。当将DHR的数据与微生物数据库的数据相结合时,我们发现因PJI进行翻修的患者的死亡风险与参考人群相比为2.18(95%CI:1.54;3.08),与进行无菌翻修的患者相比为1.87(95%CI:1.11;3.15)。总之,PJI的发病率比NRP和DHR报告的发病率高出约40%。通过将DHR与微生物数据库相链接,可以显著提高PJI诊断的有效性。通过这样将DHR和微生物数据库的数据相结合,我们表明PJI的发病率似乎没有增加,并且因PJI进行翻修与高死亡率相关。