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结合列表实验法与敏感行为流行率的直接问题估计法

Combining List Experiment and Direct Question Estimates of Sensitive Behavior Prevalence.

作者信息

Aronow Peter M, Coppock Alexander, Crawford Forrest W, Green Donald P

机构信息

Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Yale University, 77 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06520.

Doctoral Student, Department of Political Science, Columbia University, 420 W. 118th Street, New York, NY 10027.

出版信息

J Surv Stat Methodol. 2015 Mar;3(1):43-66. doi: 10.1093/jssam/smu023. Epub 2015 Mar 19.

Abstract

Survey respondents may give untruthful answers to sensitive questions when asked directly. In recent years, researchers have turned to the list experiment (also known as the item count technique) to overcome this difficulty. While list experiments are arguably less prone to bias than direct questioning, list experiments are also more susceptible to sampling variability. We show that researchers need not abandon direct questioning altogether in order to gain the advantages of list experimentation. We develop a nonparametric estimator of the prevalence of sensitive behaviors that combines list experimentation and direct questioning. We prove that this estimator is asymptotically more efficient than the standard difference-in-means estimator, and we provide a basis for inference using Wald-type confidence intervals. Additionally, leveraging information from the direct questioning, we derive two nonparametric placebo tests for assessing identifying assumptions underlying list experiments. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our combined estimator and placebo tests with an original survey experiment.

摘要

当被直接问及敏感问题时,调查受访者可能会给出不真实的答案。近年来,研究人员转向列表实验(也称为项目计数技术)来克服这一困难。虽然列表实验可以说比直接提问更容易出现偏差,但列表实验也更容易受到抽样变异性的影响。我们表明,研究人员不必完全放弃直接提问,以便获得列表实验的优势。我们开发了一种结合列表实验和直接提问的敏感行为患病率的非参数估计器。我们证明,这种估计器在渐近意义上比标准均值差估计器更有效,并且我们提供了使用Wald型置信区间进行推断的基础。此外,利用直接提问中的信息,我们推导出两个非参数安慰剂检验,用于评估列表实验背后的识别假设。我们通过一个原始的调查实验证明了我们的组合估计器和安慰剂检验的有效性。

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