Arslan Ruben C, Willführ Kai P, Frans Emma M, Verweij Karin J H, Bürkner Paul-Christian, Myrskylä Mikko, Voland Eckart, Almqvist Catarina, Zietsch Brendan P, Penke Lars
Biological Personality Psychology, Georg Elias Müller Institute of Psychology, University of Göttingen, 37073 Göttingen, Germany
Leibniz ScienceCampus Primate Cognition, 37073 Göttingen, Germany.
Proc Biol Sci. 2017 Sep 13;284(1862). doi: 10.1098/rspb.2017.1562.
Higher paternal age at offspring conception increases de novo genetic mutations. Based on evolutionary genetic theory we predicted older fathers' children, all else equal, would be less likely to survive and reproduce, i.e. have lower fitness. In sibling control studies, we find support for negative paternal age effects on offspring survival and reproductive success across four large populations with an aggregate > 1.4 million. Three populations were pre-industrial (1670-1850) Western populations and showed negative paternal age effects on infant survival and offspring reproductive success. In twentieth-century Sweden, we found minuscule paternal age effects on survival, but found negative effects on reproductive success. Effects survived tests for key competing explanations, including maternal age and parental loss, but effects varied widely over different plausible model specifications and some competing explanations such as diminishing paternal investment and epigenetic mutations could not be tested. We can use our findings to aid in predicting the effect increasingly older parents in today's society will have on their children's survival and reproductive success. To the extent that we succeeded in isolating a mutation-driven effect of paternal age, our results can be understood to show that de novo mutations reduce offspring fitness across populations and time periods.
子代受孕时父亲年龄较大,会增加新生基因突变。基于进化遗传学理论,我们预测,在其他条件相同的情况下,父亲年龄较大的孩子存活和繁衍的可能性较小,即适应性较低。在同胞对照研究中,我们在四个总计超过140万的大群体中,发现了父亲年龄对后代生存和生殖成功产生负面影响的证据。其中三个群体是工业化前(1670 - 1850年)的西方群体,父亲年龄对婴儿存活和后代生殖成功有负面影响。在20世纪的瑞典,我们发现父亲年龄对生存的影响极小,但对生殖成功有负面影响。这些影响在针对包括母亲年龄和父母死亡等主要竞争性解释的检验中依然存在,但在不同的合理模型设定下,影响差异很大,一些竞争性解释,如父亲投资减少和表观遗传突变,无法进行检验。我们可以利用研究结果,来预测当今社会中父母年龄不断增大,将对其子女的生存和生殖成功产生何种影响。就我们成功分离出父亲年龄由突变驱动的影响而言,我们的结果可以理解为表明新生突变会降低不同群体和不同时期后代的适应性。