Wesselink Amelia K, Rothman Kenneth J, Hatch Elizabeth E, Mikkelsen Ellen M, Sørensen Henrik T, Wise Lauren A
Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA; RTI Health Solutions, Research Triangle Park, NC.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2017 Dec;217(6):667.e1-667.e8. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2017.09.002. Epub 2017 Sep 14.
There is a well-documented decline in fertility treatment success with increasing female age; however, there are few preconception cohort studies that have examined female age and natural fertility. In addition, data on male age and fertility are inconsistent. Given the increasing number of couples who are attempting conception at older ages, a more detailed characterization of age-related fecundability in the general population is of great clinical utility.
The purpose of this study was to examine the association between female and male age with fecundability.
We conducted a web-based preconception cohort study of pregnancy planners from the United States and Canada. Participants were enrolled between June 2013 and July 2017. Eligible participants were 21-45 years old (female) or ≥21 years old (male) and had not been using fertility treatments. Couples were followed until pregnancy or for up to 12 menstrual cycles. We analyzed data from 2962 couples who had been trying to conceive for ≤3 cycles at study entry and reported no history of infertility. We used life-table methods to estimate the unadjusted cumulative pregnancy proportion at 6 and 12 cycles by female and male age. We used proportional probabilities regression models to estimate fecundability ratios, the per-cycle probability of conception for each age category relative to the referent (21-24 years old), and 95% confidence intervals.
Among female patients, the unadjusted cumulative pregnancy proportion at 6 cycles of attempt time ranged from 62.0% (age 28-30 years) to 27.6% (age 40-45 years); the cumulative pregnancy proportion at 12 cycles of attempt time ranged from 79.3% (age 25-27 years old) to 55.5% (age 40-45 years old). Similar patterns were observed among male patients, although differences between age groups were smaller. After adjusting for potential confounders, we observed a nearly monotonic decline in fecundability with increasing female age, with the exception of 28-33 years, at which point fecundability was relatively stable. Fecundability ratios were 0.91 (95% confidence interval, 0.74-1.11) for ages 25-27, 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.72-1.08) for ages 28-30, 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.70-1.08) for ages 31-33, 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.64-1.05) for ages 34-36, 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.44-0.81) for ages 37-39, and 0.40 (95% confidence interval, 0.22-0.73) for ages 40-45, compared with the reference group (age, 21-24 years). The association was stronger among nulligravid women. Male age was not associated appreciably with fecundability after adjustment for female age, although the number of men >45 years old was small (n=37).
In this preconception cohort study of North American pregnancy planners, increasing female age was associated with an approximately linear decline in fecundability. Although we found little association between male age and fecundability, the small number of men in our study >45 years old limited our ability to draw conclusions on fecundability in older men.
随着女性年龄增长,生育治疗成功率下降,这一点已有充分记录;然而,很少有孕前队列研究考察女性年龄与自然生育能力的关系。此外,关于男性年龄与生育能力的数据并不一致。鉴于尝试怀孕的大龄夫妇数量不断增加,更详细地描述普通人群中与年龄相关的受孕能力具有重要的临床实用价值。
本研究旨在考察女性和男性年龄与受孕能力之间的关联。
我们对来自美国和加拿大的备孕计划者进行了一项基于网络的孕前队列研究。参与者于2013年6月至2017年7月入组。符合条件的参与者年龄为21 - 45岁(女性)或≥21岁(男性),且未接受过生育治疗。对夫妇进行随访直至怀孕或长达12个月经周期。我们分析了2962对夫妇的数据,这些夫妇在研究开始时尝试怀孕≤3个周期,且报告无不孕史。我们使用生命表方法按女性和男性年龄估计6个周期和12个周期时未调整的累积妊娠比例。我们使用比例概率回归模型估计受孕能力比,即每个年龄组相对于参照组(21 - 24岁)的每个周期受孕概率,以及95%置信区间。
在女性患者中,尝试6个周期时未调整的累积妊娠比例范围为62.0%(28 - 30岁)至27.6%(40 - 45岁);尝试12个周期时的累积妊娠比例范围为79.3%(25 - 27岁)至55.5%(40 - 45岁)。在男性患者中观察到类似模式,尽管年龄组之间的差异较小。在调整潜在混杂因素后,我们观察到随着女性年龄增加,受孕能力几乎呈单调下降,但28 - 33岁除外,此时受孕能力相对稳定。与参照组(年龄21 - 24岁)相比,25 - 27岁的受孕能力比为0.91(95%置信区间,0.74 - 1.11),28 - 30岁为0.88(95%置信区间,0.72 - 1.08),31 - 33岁为0.87(95%置信区间,0.70 - 1.08),34 - 36岁为0.82(95%置信区间,0.64 - 1.05),37 - 39岁为0.60(95%置信区间,0.44 - 0.81),40 - 45岁为0.40(95%置信区间,0.22 - 0.73)。这种关联在未孕女性中更强。在调整女性年龄后,男性年龄与受孕能力无明显关联,尽管45岁以上男性数量较少(n = 37)。
在这项针对北美备孕计划者的孕前队列研究中,女性年龄增加与受孕能力近似线性下降相关。尽管我们发现男性年龄与受孕能力之间关联不大,但本研究中45岁以上男性数量较少,限制了我们对大龄男性受孕能力得出结论的能力。