Coleman Nicholas, Feler Leo
Federal Reserve Board, Division of International Finance, 20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20551, United States.
Johns Hopkins University, School of Advanced International Studies, 1717 Massachusetts Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20036, United States.
J Monet Econ. 2015 Apr;71:50-66. doi: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2014.11.001. Epub 2014 Nov 13.
Although government banks are frequently associated with political capture and resource misallocation, they may be well-positioned during times of crisis to provide countercyclical support. Following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, Brazil's government banks substantially increased lending. Localities in Brazil with a high share of government banks received more loans and experienced better employment outcomes relative to localities with a low share of government banks. While increased government bank lending mitigated an economic downturn, we find that this lending was politically targeted, inefficiently allocated, and reduced productivity growth.
尽管政府银行常常与政治俘获和资源错配联系在一起,但在危机时期,它们可能处于有利地位,能够提供反周期支持。2008年9月雷曼兄弟倒闭后,巴西的政府银行大幅增加了贷款。相对于政府银行占比低的地区,巴西政府银行占比高的地区获得了更多贷款,就业情况也更好。虽然政府银行增加贷款缓解了经济衰退,但我们发现这种贷款是出于政治目的,分配效率低下,且降低了生产率增长。