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全球陆水关联:全球供应链中体现的农业土地和淡水资源利用。

Global land-water nexus: Agricultural land and freshwater use embodied in worldwide supply chains.

机构信息

Laboratory of Systems Ecology and Sustainability Science, College of Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, PR China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2018 Feb 1;613-614:931-943. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.138. Epub 2017 Sep 21.

Abstract

As agricultural land and freshwater inextricably interrelate and interact with each other, the conventional water and land policy in "silos" should give way to nexus thinking when formulating the land and water management strategies. This study constructs a systems multi-regional input-output (MRIO) model to expound global land-water nexus by simultaneously tracking agricultural land and freshwater use flows along the global supply chains. Furthermore, land productivity and irrigation water requirements of 160 crops in different regions are investigated to reflect the land-water linkage. Results show that developed economies (e.g., USA and Japan) and major large developing economies (e.g., mainland China and India) are the overriding drivers of agricultural land and freshwater use globally. In general, significant net transfers of these two resources are identified from resource-rich and less-developed economies to resource-poor and more-developed economies. For some crops, blue water productivity is inversely related to land productivity, indicating that irrigation water consumption is sometimes at odds with land use. The results could stimulus international cooperation for sustainable land and freshwater management targeting on original suppliers and final consumers along the global supply chains. Moreover, crop-specific land-water linkage could provide insights for trade-off decisions on minimizing the environmental impacts on local land and water resources.

摘要

由于农业土地和淡水资源相互关联和相互作用,在制定土地和水资源管理战略时,传统的“筒仓式”水土地政策应该让位于关联思维。本研究构建了一个系统多区域投入产出(MRIO)模型,通过同时跟踪沿全球供应链的农业土地和淡水资源利用流,阐述全球土地-水关联。此外,还研究了不同地区 160 种作物的土地生产力和灌溉水需求,以反映土地-水的联系。结果表明,发达经济体(如美国和日本)和主要大型发展中经济体(如中国大陆和印度)是全球农业土地和淡水资源利用的主要驱动因素。总体而言,从资源丰富和欠发达经济体向资源匮乏和更发达经济体大量净转移了这两种资源。对于某些作物,蓝水生产力与土地生产力成反比,这表明灌溉用水消耗有时与土地利用不一致。这些结果可能会刺激国际合作,以实现可持续的土地和淡水资源管理,目标是针对沿全球供应链的原始供应商和最终消费者。此外,具体作物的土地-水关联可以为最小化对当地土地和水资源的环境影响的权衡决策提供见解。

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