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威廉姆斯儿童牙齿年龄估计方法的性能:一项系统评价和荟萃分析。

Performance of Willem's dental age estimation method in children: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Mohd Yusof Mohd Yusmiaidil Putera, Wan Mokhtar Ilham, Rajasekharan Sivaprakash, Overholser Rosanna, Martens Luc

机构信息

Centre of Oral & Maxillofacial Diagnostics and Medicine Studies, Faculty of Dentistry, Sungai Buloh Campus, Universiti Teknologi MARA, 47000 Sungai Buloh, Selangor, Malaysia; Department of Paediatric Dentistry and Special Care, PAECOMEDIS Research Cluster, De Pintelaan 185, P8, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, Belgium.

Centre of Oral & Maxillofacial Diagnostics and Medicine Studies, Faculty of Dentistry, Sungai Buloh Campus, Universiti Teknologi MARA, 47000 Sungai Buloh, Selangor, Malaysia; Department of Paediatric Dentistry and Special Care, PAECOMEDIS Research Cluster, De Pintelaan 185, P8, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, Belgium.

出版信息

Forensic Sci Int. 2017 Nov;280:245.e1-245.e10. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2017.08.032. Epub 2017 Sep 7.

Abstract

Through numerous validation and method comparison studies on different populations, the Willems method exhibited a superior accuracy. This article aims to systematically examine how accurate the application of Willems dental age method on children of different age groups and its performance based on various populations and regions. A strategic literature search of PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science, EMBASE and hand searching were used to identify the studies published up to September 2014 that estimated the dental age using the Willems method (modified Demirjian), with a populations, intervention, comparisons and outcomes (PICO) search strategy using MeSH keywords, focusing on the question: How much Willems method deviates from the chronological age in estimating age in children? Standardized mean differences were calculated for difference of dental age to chronological age by using random effects model. Subgroup analyses were performed to evaluate potential heterogeneity. Of 116 titles retrieved based on the standardized search strategy, only 19 articles fulfilled the inclusion criteria for quantitative analysis. The pooled estimates were separately kept as underestimation (n=7) and overestimation (n=12) of chronological age groups for both genders according to primary studies. On absolute values, females (underestimated by 0.13; 95% CI: 0.09-0.18 and overestimated by 0.27; 95% CI: 0.17-0.36) exhibited better accuracy than males (underestimated by 0.28; 95% CI: 0.14-0.42 and overestimated by 0.33; 95% CI: 0.22-0.44). For comparison purposes, the overall pooled estimate overestimated the age by 0.10 (95% CI: -0.06 to 0.26) and 0.09 (95% CI: -0.09 to 0.19) for males and females, respectively. There was no significant difference between the young and older child in subgroup analysis using omnibus test. The mean age between different regions exhibited no statistically significant. The use of Willems method is appropriate to estimate age in children considering its accuracy among different populations, investigators and age groups.

摘要

通过对不同人群进行的大量验证和方法比较研究,威廉姆斯方法显示出更高的准确性。本文旨在系统研究威廉姆斯牙齿年龄法在不同年龄组儿童中的应用准确性,以及基于不同人群和地区的表现。我们采用了一种策略性文献检索方法,检索了PubMed、MEDLINE、Web of Science、EMBASE数据库,并进行了手工检索,以识别截至2014年9月发表的使用威廉姆斯方法(改良的德米尔坚法)估计牙齿年龄的研究,采用医学主题词(MeSH)关键词的人群、干预、对照和结局(PICO)检索策略,重点关注以下问题:在估计儿童年龄时,威廉姆斯方法与实际年龄的偏差有多大?使用随机效应模型计算牙齿年龄与实际年龄差异的标准化平均差。进行亚组分析以评估潜在的异质性。在基于标准化检索策略检索到的116篇文献标题中,只有19篇文章符合定量分析的纳入标准。根据初步研究,按性别分别将合并估计值作为实际年龄组的低估(n = 7)和高估(n = 12)。从绝对值来看,女性(低估0.13;95%可信区间:0.09 - 0.18,高估0.27;95%可信区间:0.17 - 0.36)比男性(低估0.28;95%可信区间:0.14 - 0.42,高估0.33;95%可信区间:0.22 - 0.44)表现出更高的准确性。为便于比较,总体合并估计值分别高估男性年龄0.10(95%可信区间:-0.06至0.26)和女性年龄0.09(95%可信区间:-0.09至0.19)。在使用综合检验的亚组分析中,年幼和年长儿童之间没有显著差异。不同地区之间的平均年龄没有统计学上的显著差异。考虑到威廉姆斯方法在不同人群、研究者和年龄组中的准确性,该方法适用于估计儿童年龄。

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