Lee Yeon Kyung, Yang Min Jae, Kim Soon Sun, Noh Choong Kyun, Cho Hyo Jung, Lim Sun Gyo, Hwang Jae Chul, Yoo Byung Moo, Kim Jin Hong
Department of Gastroenterology, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea.
J Korean Med Sci. 2017 Nov;32(11):1814-1819. doi: 10.3346/jkms.2017.32.11.1814.
Early post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) prediction may allow safe same-day outpatients discharge after ERCP and earlier proper management. This study aimed to assess the usefulness of the 4-hour post-ERCP serum amylase and lipase levels for PEP early prediction and to investigate predictive cut-off values for 4-hour post-ERCP serum amylase and lipase levels for safe discharge and urgent initiation of resuscitation. The data of 516 consecutive patients with native papilla who underwent ERCP between January 2013 and August 2014 were retrospectively reviewed. Serum amylase and lipase levels were measured before, and 4 and 24 hours after ERCP. PEP occurred in 16 (3.1%) patients. The receiver-operator characteristic curve for 4-hour post-ERCP serum amylase and lipase levels showed that the areas under the curve were 0.919 and 0.933, respectively, demonstrating good test performances as predictors for PEP (both P values < 0.001). The amylase level > 1.5 × the upper limit of reference (ULR) was found useful for PEP exclusion with a sensitivity of 93.8%, while 4 × ULR was found useful to guide preventive therapy with the best specificity of 93.2%. Similarly, the lipase level 2 × ULR showed best sensitivity, while 8 × ULR had the best specificity. Logistic regression analysis showed that 4-hour post-ERCP amylase level > 4 × ULR, lipase level > 8 × ULR, precut sphincterotomy, and pancreatic sphincterotomy were significant predictors for PEP. In conclusion, 4-hour post-ERCP amylase and lipase levels are useful early predictors of PEP that can ensure safe discharge or prompt resuscitation after ERCP.
早期预测内镜逆行胰胆管造影术(ERCP)后胰腺炎(PEP),可能有助于ERCP术后患者安全地在当日出院,并实现更早的合理管理。本研究旨在评估ERCP术后4小时血清淀粉酶和脂肪酶水平对PEP早期预测的有用性,并探讨ERCP术后4小时血清淀粉酶和脂肪酶水平对于安全出院及紧急启动复苏的预测临界值。对2013年1月至2014年8月期间连续516例行ERCP的天然乳头患者的数据进行回顾性分析。在ERCP术前、术后4小时和24小时测量血清淀粉酶和脂肪酶水平。16例(3.1%)患者发生了PEP。ERCP术后4小时血清淀粉酶和脂肪酶水平的受试者工作特征曲线显示,曲线下面积分别为0.919和0.933,表明作为PEP的预测指标具有良好的检测性能(P值均<0.001)。淀粉酶水平>1.5倍参考上限(ULR)对排除PEP有用,敏感性为93.8%,而4倍ULR对指导预防性治疗有用,特异性最佳为93.2%。同样,脂肪酶水平2倍ULR显示出最佳敏感性,而8倍ULR具有最佳特异性。逻辑回归分析显示,ERCP术后4小时淀粉酶水平>4倍ULR、脂肪酶水平>8倍ULR、预切开括约肌切开术和胰管括约肌切开术是PEP的重要预测因素。总之,ERCP术后4小时淀粉酶和脂肪酶水平是PEP有用的早期预测指标,可确保ERCP术后安全出院或及时复苏。