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陪审员的一致裁决与快速节俭决策有关吗?探究陪审员一致性、决策速度和线索利用之间的关系。

Are consistent juror decisions related to fast and frugal decision making? Investigating the relationship between juror consistency, decision speed and cue utilisation.

作者信息

Curley Lee J, Murray Jennifer, MacLean Rory, Laybourn Phyllis

机构信息

School of Applied Sciences, Psychology Research Group, Edinburgh Napier University, UK.

出版信息

Med Sci Law. 2017 Oct;57(4):211-219. doi: 10.1177/0025802417733354. Epub 2017 Oct 9.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to establish whether more consistent/accurate juror decision making is related to faster decision-making processes which use fewer cues - that is, fast and frugal heuristic processes. A correlational design was implemented with the co-variables: consistency of verdict decisions (participant decisions compared to the actual court verdicts), decision speed, and cue utilisation (the number of cues used to make a final verdict decision). Sixty participants read information about six murder trials which were based on real cases and whose outcome verdicts were deemed to be correct by the Scottish legal institution. Three of the cases had been handed down 'not guilty' verdicts, and three had been handed down 'guilty' verdicts. Participants read opening statements and were then presented with a block of prosecution evidence, followed by a block of defence evidence. They were then asked to make a final verdict. All three co-variables were significantly related. Cue utilisation and speed were positively correlated, as would be expected. Consistency was negatively and significantly related to both speed and cue utilisation. Partial correlations highlighted that cue utilisation was the only variable to have a significant relationship with consistency, and that the relationship between speed and consistency was a by-product of how frugal the juror was. Findings support the concept of frugal decisional processes being optimal within a juror context. The more frugal a decision is, the more likely jurors are to be to be accurate/consistent.

摘要

本研究的目的是确定更一致/准确的陪审员决策是否与更快的决策过程相关,而更快的决策过程使用的线索更少,也就是说,是快速且节俭的启发式过程。采用相关设计,涉及的协变量有:裁决决策的一致性(将参与者的决策与实际法庭裁决进行比较)、决策速度和线索利用情况(用于做出最终裁决决策的线索数量)。60名参与者阅读了基于真实案例的六起谋杀案审判的信息,这些案件的裁决结果被苏格兰法律机构认为是正确的。其中三起案件做出了“无罪”裁决,另外三起做出了“有罪”裁决。参与者阅读开场陈述,然后依次呈现控方证据板块,接着是辩方证据板块。随后他们被要求做出最终裁决。所有这三个协变量都显著相关。正如预期的那样,线索利用情况与速度呈正相关。一致性与速度和线索利用情况均呈负相关且具有显著性。偏相关分析表明,线索利用情况是唯一与一致性有显著关系的变量,速度与一致性之间的关系是陪审员节俭程度的一个副产品。研究结果支持了在陪审员情境下节俭决策过程是最优的这一概念。决策越节俭,陪审员就越有可能准确/一致。

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