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狂犬病暴露后预防未能完成:估计未被发现的情况以满足服务不足人群的需求。

Rabies Postexposure Prophylaxis Noncompletion After Dog Bites: Estimating the Unseen to Meet the Needs of the Underserved.

机构信息

Epidemiology and Public Health Unit, Institut Pasteur du Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia.

Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique Pour le Développement-Environnement et Société.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Feb 1;187(2):306-315. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwx234.

DOI:10.1093/aje/kwx234
PMID:29020186
Abstract

Postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) prevents human rabies and is accessible in Cambodia principally in Phnom Penh, the capital. Timely, affordable access to PEP is a challenge for the mainly rural population. We aimed to identify districts independently associated with PEP noncompletion to position frontline vaccination centers. We analyzed the 2009-2013 database at the Rabies Prevention Center at the Institut Pasteur du Cambodge, Phnom Penh. Logistic regressions identified nongeographic determinants of PEP noncompletion as well as the districts that were independently associated with noncompletion after adjustment for these determinants. The influence of distance by road was estimated using a boosted regression-trees model. We computed a population attributable fraction (rabies index (RI)) for each district and developed a map of this RI distribution. A cartographic analysis based on the statistic developed by Getis and Ord identified clusters of high-RI districts. Factors independently associated with noncompletion were patients' district of residence, male sex, age 15-49 years, initial visit during rice harvest, the dog's status (culled or disappeared), and a prescribed PEP protocol requiring more than 3 PEP sessions (4 or 5). Four clusters of high-RI districts were identified using this analytical strategy, which is applicable to many vaccination or other health services. Positioning frontline PEP centers in these districts could significantly widen access to timely and adequate PEP.

摘要

暴露后预防(PEP)可预防人类狂犬病,在柬埔寨主要在首都金边提供。对于主要居住在农村地区的人群来说,及时、负担得起地获得 PEP 是一个挑战。我们旨在确定与 PEP 不完成独立相关的地区,以便为前线疫苗接种中心定位。我们分析了 2009-2013 年在金边巴斯德研究所狂犬病预防中心的数据库。逻辑回归确定了 PEP 不完成的非地理决定因素,以及在调整这些决定因素后与不完成独立相关的地区。使用增强回归树模型估计了道路距离的影响。我们计算了每个地区的人群归因分数(狂犬病指数(RI)),并绘制了该 RI 分布的地图。基于 Getis 和 Ord 提出的统计数据的制图分析确定了高 RI 地区的聚类。与不完成独立相关的因素是患者居住的地区、男性、年龄在 15-49 岁之间、在水稻收获期间初次就诊、狗的状态(被扑杀或消失)以及需要超过 3 次 PEP 疗程(4 次或 5 次)的规定 PEP 方案。使用这种分析策略确定了四个高 RI 地区的聚类,该策略适用于许多疫苗接种或其他卫生服务。在这些地区定位前线 PEP 中心可以显著扩大及时和充分获得 PEP 的机会。

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