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2014年加纳大阿克拉地区霍乱大爆发的流行病学关联

Epidemiological link of a major cholera outbreak in Greater Accra region of Ghana, 2014.

作者信息

Ohene-Adjei Kennedy, Kenu Ernest, Bandoh Delia Akosua, Addo Prince Nii Ossah, Noora Charles Lwanga, Nortey Priscillia, Afari Edwin Andrew

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Disease Control, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2017 Oct 11;17(1):801. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4803-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Cholera remains an important public health challenge globally. Several pandemics have occurred in different parts of the world and have been epidemiologically linked by different researchers to illustrate how the cases were spread and how they were related to index cases. Even though the risk factors associated with the 2014 cholera outbreak were investigated extensively, the link between index cases and the source of infection was not investigated to help break the transmission process. This study sought to show how the index cases from various districts of the Greater Accra Region may have been linked.

METHODS

We carried out a descriptive cross sectional study to investigate the epidemiological link of the 2014 cholera outbreak in the Greater Accra region of Ghana. An extensive review of all district records on cholera cases in the Greater Accra region was carried out. Index cases were identified with the help of line lists. Univariate analyses were expressed as frequency distributions, percentages, mean ± Standard Deviation, and rates (attack rates, case-fatality rates etc.) as appropriate. Maps were drawn using Arc GIS and Epi info software to describe the pattern of transmission.

RESULTS

Up to 20,199 cholera cases were recorded. Sixty percent of the cases were between 20 and 40 years and about 58% (11,694) of the total cases were males. Almost 50% of the cases occurred in the Accra Metro district. Two-thirds of the index cases ate food prepared outside their home and had visited the Accra Metropolis.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2014 cholera outbreak can be described as a propagated source outbreak linked to the Accra Metropolis. The link between index cases and the source of infection, if investigated earlier could have helped break the transmission process. Such investigations also inform decision-making about the appropriate interventions to be instituted to prevent subsequent outbreaks.

摘要

背景

霍乱仍是全球一项重要的公共卫生挑战。世界不同地区已发生多次霍乱大流行,不同研究人员从流行病学角度对其进行了关联分析,以阐明病例的传播方式以及它们与首例病例的关系。尽管对2014年霍乱疫情的相关风险因素进行了广泛调查,但未对首例病例与感染源之间的联系进行调查,而这有助于阻断传播过程。本研究旨在揭示大阿克拉地区不同行政区的首例病例可能存在的关联。

方法

我们开展了一项描述性横断面研究,以调查2014年加纳大阿克拉地区霍乱疫情的流行病学关联。对大阿克拉地区所有行政区的霍乱病例记录进行了广泛审查。借助一览表确定了首例病例。单变量分析酌情以频率分布、百分比、均值±标准差以及发病率(罹患率、病死率等)表示。使用Arc GIS和Epi info软件绘制地图,以描述传播模式。

结果

共记录到20199例霍乱病例。60%的病例年龄在20至40岁之间,约58%(11694例)的病例为男性。近50%的病例发生在阿克拉都会区。三分之二的首例病例食用了在家外制备的食物,并曾到访过阿克拉市。

结论

2014年霍乱疫情可描述为与阿克拉市相关的传播源疫情。如果更早对首例病例与感染源之间的联系进行调查,本可有助于阻断传播过程。此类调查还可为制定适当干预措施以预防后续疫情的决策提供依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0920/5637323/a006c27276b2/12889_2017_4803_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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