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15至24岁尼日利亚青年首次性行为时间的差异:参数和非参数生存分析方法

Diversities in timing of sexual debut among Nigerian youths aged 15-24 years: parametric and non-parametric survival analysis approach.

作者信息

Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis, Idemudia Erhabor

机构信息

School of Research and Postgraduate Studies, North West University, Mafikeng, SouthAfrica.

Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Faculty of Public Health, College of Medicine, University of Ibadan. Nigeria.

出版信息

Afr Health Sci. 2017 Mar;17(1):39-51. doi: 10.4314/ahs.v17i1.7.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study examined gender, generational, cultural and social diversities in timing of sexual debut among Nigerian youths and determined factors influencing the timings.

METHODS

We extracted data of respondents aged 15-24 years from 2012 Nigeria nationally representative data. The outcome of interest was time at sexual debut while predictors included residence, marital status, zones, education, religion, age at first marriage. Data was censored, cox proportional hazard and generalized gamma models were used to model age at sexual debut with p=0.05.

RESULTS

The median survival time of sexual debut was 19 years, female youths were twice as likely to begin sexual activities than their male counterparts, HR=1.99, 1.87-2.11 while uneducated youths were more than twice likely to have earlier sexual debut than those with higher education, HR=2.19, 1.95-2.25. Likelihood of having had sexual debut was about 30% higher among those aged 20-24 years than those aged 15-19 years, HR=1.27, 1.19-1.36.

CONCLUSION

Females from poor households mostly in rural areas with no education and who married early in life were more likely to have earlier sexual debut. Both teenagers and young adults are on different trajectories of sexual debut but both urgently need sexual and reproductive health education to delay sexual debut.

摘要

目的

本研究调查了尼日利亚青年首次性行为时间的性别、代际、文化和社会差异,并确定了影响这些时间的因素。

方法

我们从2012年尼日利亚全国代表性数据中提取了15 - 24岁受访者的数据。感兴趣的结果是首次性行为的时间,而预测因素包括居住地、婚姻状况、地区、教育程度、宗教、初婚年龄。数据进行了删失处理,使用Cox比例风险模型和广义伽马模型对首次性行为的年龄进行建模,p = 0.05。

结果

首次性行为的中位生存时间为19岁,青年女性开始性行为的可能性是男性的两倍,风险比(HR)= 1.99,95%置信区间(CI)为1.87 - 2.11;而未受过教育的青年比受过高等教育的青年更早发生首次性行为的可能性高出两倍多,HR = 2.19,95%CI为1.95 - 2.25。20 - 24岁的人群发生首次性行为的可能性比15 - 19岁的人群高约30%,HR = 1.27,95%CI为1.19 - 1.36。

结论

来自贫困家庭、大多生活在农村地区、未受过教育且早婚的女性更有可能更早发生首次性行为。青少年和青年在首次性行为方面处于不同轨迹,但两者都迫切需要性与生殖健康教育以推迟首次性行为。

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