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莫桑比克青少年和青年过早开始性行为的相关因素:对莫桑比克2021年艾滋病指标调查的地理加性生存分析

Factors associated with early sexual debut among adolescents and youth in Mozambique: A geo-additive survival analysis of the Mozambique 2021 AIDS indicator survey.

作者信息

Muleia Rachid, Damião Shelsea Luís, Banze Áuria Ribeiro, Baltazar Cynthia Semá, Adjei Isaac Akpor

机构信息

Instituto Nacional de Saúde, Maputo, Mozambique.

Universidade Eduardo Mondlane, Maputo, Mozambique.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Jun 25;20(6):e0326869. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0326869. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

Engaging in sexual activity before the age of 15, known as early sexual debut, is a significant public health concern due to its association with increased risks of sexually transmitted infections, unintended pregnancies, and reduced educational achievements. This research investigates the factors influencing early sexual initiation among adolescents and youth aged 15 to 24 years in Mozambique, utilizing data of 5,283 individuals from the 2021 Mozambique AIDS indicator survey. Geoadditive models for censored time-to-event outcomes were employed to explore regional disparities and key determinants of the time to sexual debut, aiming to inform region-specific public health interventions and policies. The model was fitted using Poisson approximation within the framework of mixed model formulation for generalized additive models. The results revealed that approximately 80% of individuals have engaged in sexual activity, with 18.9% reporting having had sex before the age of 15. Among women, the percentage was 16.3%, while among men, it was 26.7%. Regional disparities were also observed, with the northern region exhibiting a higher prevalence of sexual debut before the age of 15 (26.7%). The median age at which individuals initiate sexual activity was estimated to be 16 years. After adjusting for significant covariates, the findings indicated a higher incidence of early sexual debut in the northern and southern regions of Mozambique, with notable gender differences. Age, occupation, alcohol consumption, illicit drug use, and living with parents were statistically significant factors associated with the age of sexual debut. These results highlight the need of addressing both individual behaviors and broader structural determinants-such as education and socio-economic conditions-to delay sexual initiation and reduce adverse health outcomes among Mozambican adolescents and youth. This study adds to the limited geospatial literature on sexual behavior in Mozambique.

摘要

15岁之前开始性行为,即所谓的性早熟,是一个重大的公共卫生问题,因为它与性传播感染、意外怀孕风险增加以及教育成就降低有关。本研究利用2021年莫桑比克艾滋病指标调查中5283人的数据,调查了莫桑比克15至24岁青少年和青年中性早熟的影响因素。采用删失事件发生时间的地理加性模型来探讨地区差异以及首次性行为时间的关键决定因素,旨在为针对特定地区的公共卫生干预措施和政策提供信息。该模型是在广义加性模型的混合模型框架内使用泊松近似进行拟合的。结果显示,约80%的人有过性行为,18.9%的人报告在15岁之前有过性行为。其中,女性的这一比例为16.3%,男性为为26.7%。研究还观察到了地区差异,北部地区15岁之前首次性行为的发生率较高(26.7%)。据估计,人们开始性行为的中位年龄为16岁。在对显著协变量进行调整后,研究结果表明,莫桑比克北部和南部地区性早熟的发生率较高,且存在显著的性别差异。年龄、职业、饮酒、使用非法药物以及与父母同住是与首次性行为年龄相关的具有统计学意义的因素。这些结果凸显了需要同时解决个人行为以及更广泛的结构性决定因素,如教育和社会经济状况,以推迟性行为开始时间,并减少莫桑比克青少年和青年的不良健康后果。这项研究补充了莫桑比克关于性行为的有限地理空间文献。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6dd6/12192294/8030fc18e8fa/pone.0326869.g001.jpg

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