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GM(1,N) 法预测厌氧消化系统及影响因素灵敏度分析。

GM(1,N) method for the prediction of anaerobic digestion system and sensitivity analysis of influential factors.

机构信息

Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

Bioresour Technol. 2018 Jan;247:1258-1261. doi: 10.1016/j.biortech.2017.10.029. Epub 2017 Oct 10.

Abstract

Anaerobic digestion process has been recognized as a promising way for waste treatment and energy recovery in a sustainable way. Modelling of anaerobic digestion system is significantly important for effectively and accurately controlling, adjusting, and predicting the system for higher methane yield. The GM(1,N) approach which does not need the mechanism or a large number of samples was employed to model the anaerobic digestion system to predict methane yield. In order to illustrate the proposed model, an illustrative case about anaerobic digestion of municipal solid waste for methane yield was studied, and the results demonstrate that GM(1,N) model can effectively simulate anaerobic digestion system at the cases of poor information with less computational expense.

摘要

厌氧消化工艺已被认为是一种可持续的废物处理和能源回收的有前途的方法。厌氧消化系统的建模对于有效地、准确地控制、调整和预测系统以获得更高的甲烷产量非常重要。GM(1,N)方法不需要机理或大量样本,可用于对厌氧消化系统进行建模以预测甲烷产量。为了说明所提出的模型,研究了一个关于利用城市固体废物生产甲烷的厌氧消化案例,结果表明,GM(1,N)模型可以有效地模拟信息较少、计算开销较小的情况下的厌氧消化系统。

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