Propensity score analysis of recurrence for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND

The perioperative serum neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed to predict adverse prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, its interpretation remains unclear. The present study aimed to clarify the prognostic value of NLR in predicting survival among CRC patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A single-centre, retrospective, propensity score-matched study of adenocarcinoma patients who underwent D3 lymphadenectomy via laparoscopic or open surgery between 2010 and 2016 was conducted. A cutoff of 3.5 was used based on the receiver operating characteristic curve. To overcome selection biases, we performed a 1:1 match using six covariates.

RESULTS

The high-preoperative NLR group had a higher recurrence rate than the low group (P < 0.001). Univariate analysis showed that increased NLR (P < 0.001), N1 (P = 0.016), and N2 (P < 0.001) were associated with worse recurrence-free survival (RFS). Multivariate analysis showed that N2 (hazard ratio [HR], 2.492; P = 0.008) was an adverse prognostic factor for RFS. Univariate analysis for overall survival (OS) revealed that high perioperative NLR (P = 0.001), N1 (P = 0.01), N2 (P < 0.001), and distant metastasis (P < 0.001) were adverse prognostic factors. Subsequent multivariate analysis showed that M1 (HR, 3.973; P < 0.001) and N2 (HR, 2.381; P = 0.013) were highly adverse factors for OS. Clinical assessments performed during a 21.14 (±16.20)-mo follow-up revealed that OS (P = 0.001) and RFS (P < 0.001) were worse in the high-perioperative group than in the low group between the matched groups.

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated preoperative NLR is a strong predictor of worse RFS and OS in CRC patients.