The Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics, The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4, 104 05, Stockholm, Sweden.
The Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kräftriket 2 B, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ambio. 2017 Dec;46(Suppl 3):368-386. doi: 10.1007/s13280-017-0954-2.
We review current knowledge about climate change impacts on Arctic seafood production. Large-scale changes in the Arctic marine food web can be expected for the next 40-100 years. Possible future trajectories under climate change for Arctic capture fisheries anticipate the movement of aquatic species into new waters and changed the dynamics of existing species. Negative consequences are expected for some fish stocks but others like the Barents Sea cod (Gadus morhua) may instead increase. Arctic aquaculture that constitutes about 2% of global farming is mainly made up of Norwegian salmon (Salmo salar) farming. The sector will face many challenges in a warmer future and some of these are already a reality impacting negatively on salmon growth. Other more indirect effects from climate change are more uncertain with respect to impacts on the economic conditions of Arctic aquaculture.
我们回顾了关于气候变化对北极海鲜生产影响的现有知识。在未来 40-100 年内,北极海洋食物网可能会发生大规模变化。在气候变化下,北极捕捞渔业的未来轨迹预计会将水生物种转移到新的水域,并改变现有物种的动态。一些鱼类种群可能会受到负面影响,但其他种群,如巴伦支海鳕鱼(Gadus morhua),可能会增加。构成全球养殖的 2%左右的北极水产养殖主要是挪威三文鱼(Salmo salar)养殖。该行业在未来将面临许多挑战,其中一些挑战已经成为现实,对三文鱼的生长产生了负面影响。气候变化对北极水产养殖经济状况的其他更间接影响则更加不确定。