Amuedo-Dorantes Catalina, Lopez Mary J
Department of Economics, San Diego State University, 5500 Campanile Drive, San Diego, CA, 92182, USA.
Department of Economics, Occidental College, 1600 Campus Road, Los Angeles, CA, 90041, USA.
Demography. 2017 Dec;54(6):2223-2247. doi: 10.1007/s13524-017-0627-6.
The 2000s have witnessed an expansion of interior immigration enforcement in the United States. At the same time, the country has experienced a major demographic transformation, with the number of U.S. citizens living in mixed-status households-that is, households where at least one family member is an unauthorized migrant-reaching 16 million. U.S. citizens living in mixed-status households are personally connected to the struggles experienced by their unauthorized family members. For them, immigration policy is likely to shape their current and future voting behavior. Using data from the 2002-2014 Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplements, we examine whether intensified immigration enforcement has affected the political engagement of U.S. citizens living in mixed-status households. We find that immigration enforcement has chilled their electoral participation by lowering their propensity to register by 5 %; however, it has not visibly affected their voting propensity among those registered. Importantly, their lower voting registration likelihood does not seem to reflect indifference for community and public matters, given that it has been accompanied by greater involvement in civic forms of political participation, such as volunteering. Understanding how immigration policy affects the political participation of a fast-growing segment of the electorate is imperative because they will inevitably constitute a rapidly rising political force in future elections.
21世纪见证了美国国内移民执法力度的扩大。与此同时,美国经历了重大的人口结构转变,生活在混合身份家庭(即至少有一名家庭成员为非法移民的家庭)中的美国公民数量达到了1600万。生活在混合身份家庭中的美国公民亲身感受到了其非法家庭成员所经历的挣扎。对他们来说,移民政策可能会影响他们当前和未来的投票行为。利用2002年至2014年《当前人口调查投票与登记补充资料》中的数据,我们研究了强化移民执法是否影响了生活在混合身份家庭中的美国公民的政治参与度。我们发现,移民执法通过将他们的登记倾向降低5%,抑制了他们的选举参与;然而,在已登记的人群中,这并未明显影响他们的投票倾向。重要的是,他们较低的投票登记可能性似乎并不反映对社区和公共事务的冷漠,因为这伴随着他们更多地参与公民形式的政治参与,比如志愿服务。了解移民政策如何影响快速增长的选民群体的政治参与至关重要,因为他们将不可避免地在未来选举中成为一股迅速崛起的政治力量。