Industrial Engineering and Management, Ben Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel.
Instituto de Tráfico y Seguridad Vial, Universitat de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
Accid Anal Prev. 2018 Jan;110:177-186. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2017.09.018. Epub 2017 Oct 26.
Police crash reports are often the main source for official data in many countries. However, with the exception of fatal crashes, crashes are often underreported in a biased manner. Consequently, the countermeasures adopted according to them may be inefficient. In the case of bicycle crashes, this bias is most acute and it probably varies across countries, with some of them being more prone to reporting accidents to police than others. Assessing if this bias occurs and the size of it can be of great importance for evaluating the risks associated with bicycling. This study utilized data collected in the COST TU1101 action "Towards safer bicycling through optimization of bicycle helmets and usage". The data came from an online survey that included questions related to bicyclists' attitudes, behaviour, cycling habits, accidents, and patterns of use of helmets. The survey was filled by 8655 bicyclists from 30 different countries. After applying various exclusion factors, 7015 questionnaires filled by adult cyclists from 17 countries, each with at least 100 valid responses, remained in our sample. The results showed that across all countries, an average of only 10% of all crashes were reported to the police, with a wide range among countries: from a minimum of 0.0% (Israel) and 2.6% (Croatia) to a maximum of a 35.0% (Germany). Some factors associated with the reporting levels were type of crash, type of vehicle involved, and injury severity. No relation was found between the likelihood of reporting and the cyclist's gender, age, educational level, marital status, being a parent, use of helmet, and type of bicycle. The significant under-reporting - including injury crashes that do not lead to hospitalization - justifies the use of self-report survey data for assessment of bicycling crash patterns as they relate to (1) crash risk issues such as location, infrastructure, cyclists' characteristics, and use of helmet and (2) strategic approaches to bicycle crash prevention and injury reduction.
警察事故报告通常是许多国家官方数据的主要来源。然而,除了致命事故外,事故报告往往存在偏向性,且报告数量不足。因此,根据这些报告采取的对策可能效率低下。在自行车事故中,这种偏差最为明显,而且可能因国家而异,有些国家比其他国家更倾向于向警方报告事故。评估这种偏差是否存在以及其大小对于评估与骑自行车相关的风险非常重要。本研究利用在 COST TU1101 行动“通过优化自行车头盔和使用来实现更安全的骑自行车”中收集的数据。该数据来自一项在线调查,其中包括与自行车手的态度、行为、骑行习惯、事故以及头盔使用模式相关的问题。该调查由来自 30 个不同国家的 8655 名自行车手填写。在应用各种排除因素后,我们的样本中仍保留了来自 17 个国家的 7015 份由成年自行车手填写的问卷,每个国家至少有 100 份有效回复。结果表明,在所有国家中,平均只有 10%的事故报告给了警方,各国之间的报告比例差异很大:从最低的 0.0%(以色列)和 2.6%(克罗地亚)到最高的 35.0%(德国)。与报告水平相关的一些因素包括事故类型、涉及的车辆类型和伤害严重程度。报告的可能性与自行车手的性别、年龄、教育水平、婚姻状况、是否为父母、使用头盔以及自行车类型之间没有关系。这种明显的漏报——包括未导致住院的受伤事故——证明了使用自我报告调查数据来评估与(1)与位置、基础设施、自行车手特征以及头盔使用相关的碰撞风险问题以及(2)自行车碰撞预防和伤害减少的战略方法相关的自行车碰撞模式是合理的。