Molina-Soberanes Daniel, Martínez-Ruiz Virginia, Lardelli-Claret Pablo, Pulido-Manzanero José, Martín-delosReyes Luis Miguel, Moreno-Roldán Elena, Jiménez-Mejías Eladio
Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, School of Medicine, University of Granada, Granada, Spain.
Doctoral Program in Clinical Medicine and Public Health, University of Granada, Granada, Spain.
BMJ Open. 2019 Aug 22;9(8):e028039. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-028039.
To quantify the magnitude of associations between cyclist fatalities and both cyclist and environment related characteristics in Spain during the first 24 hours after a crash.
Cohort study.
Spain.
65 977 cyclists injured in road crashes recorded between 1993 and 2013 in the Spanish Register of Road Crashes with Victims.
Death within the first 24 hours after the crash.
A multiple imputation procedure was used to mitigate the effect of missing values. Differences between regions were assumed and managed with multilevel analysis at the cyclist and province levels. Incidence density ratios (IDR) with 95% CI were calculated with a multivariate Poisson model.
Non-use of a helmet was directly associated with death (IDR 1.43, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.64). Among other cyclist characteristics, age after the third decade of life was also directly associated with death, especially in older cyclists ('over 74' category, IDR 4.61, 95% CI 3.49 to 6.08). The association with death did not differ between work-related cycling and other reasons for cycling.There was an inverse association with death for crashes in urban areas and on community roads. Any adverse meteorological condition also showed a direct association with death, whereas altered road surfaces showed an inverse association. Crashes during nighttime were directly associated with death, with a peak between 3:00 and 5:59 am (IDR 1.58, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.41).
We found strong direct and inverse associations between several cyclist and environment related variables and death. These variables should be considered in efforts to prioritise public health measures aimed at reducing the number of cycling-related fatalities.
量化西班牙交通事故发生后头24小时内自行车骑行者死亡人数与骑行者及环境相关特征之间关联的程度。
队列研究。
西班牙。
1993年至2013年在西班牙道路交通事故受害者登记处记录的65977名在道路交通事故中受伤的自行车骑行者。
事故发生后头24小时内死亡。
采用多重填补程序减轻缺失值的影响。假定地区间存在差异,并通过骑行者和省份层面的多水平分析进行处理。使用多元泊松模型计算95%置信区间的发病率密度比(IDR)。
不佩戴头盔与死亡直接相关(IDR 1.43,95%置信区间1.25至1.64)。在其他骑行者特征中,30岁以后的年龄也与死亡直接相关,尤其是老年骑行者(“74岁以上”类别,IDR 4.61,95%置信区间3.49至6.08)。与工作相关的骑行和其他骑行原因与死亡的关联无差异。城市地区和社区道路上的事故与死亡呈负相关。任何不利气象条件也与死亡呈直接相关,而路面状况改变则呈负相关。夜间事故与死亡直接相关,凌晨3:00至5:59之间达到峰值(IDR 1.58,95%置信区间1.03至2.41)。
我们发现几个骑行者及环境相关变量与死亡之间存在强烈的正相关和负相关。在努力优先采取旨在减少自行车相关死亡人数的公共卫生措施时,应考虑这些变量。