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利用 AirQ 模型方法量化伊朗哈马丹市环境空气污染物对健康的影响。

Health impacts quantification of ambient air pollutants using AirQ model approach in Hamadan, Iran.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health Engineering, Students Research Center, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2018 Feb;161:114-121. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.10.050. Epub 2017 Nov 6.

Abstract

Iranian western cities, including Hamadan, have been experiencing Middle East Dust Storms (MEDS) phenomenon problems in recent years, so the air quality is getting worse every year in these cities. The aim of this study was to evaluate the human health impacts of criteria air pollutants including PM, PM, NO, SO, CO and O on the citizens of Hamadan using AirQ model software 2.2.3. Considering the determined baseline incidence (BI) and relative risk (RR) rate, the attributable proportion (AP) of deaths due to cardiovascular and respiratory mortality attributed to PM, PM, O, NO, and CO pollutants was estimated to be 4.42%, 3.37%, 1.75%, 1.74% and 0.92% (95% CI) of the total mortality and the excess death cases were respectively estimated to be 131.9, 100.4, 52.1, 51.9 and 27.3 persons. In addition, cardiovascular mortality brings more contribution than respiratory mortality in total death number. The results of our study also showed that PM poses the greatest health effects on the citizens. Analyzing the average seasonal concentrations of studied pollutants (PM, PM, and NO) and the mean seasonal temperature values revealed a positive linear correlation. Significant negative correlations were observed between the studied pollutants (PM, PM and NO) and relative humidity, and between PM and wind speed. This study, therefore, provides additional data in decision-makings for the development of strategies for reduction of ambient air pollution which will result in improvements of air quality.

摘要

近年来,包括哈马丹在内的伊朗西部城市一直受到中东扬尘风暴(MEDS)现象的困扰,因此这些城市的空气质量每年都在恶化。本研究旨在利用 AirQ 模型软件 2.2.3 评估包括 PM、PM、NO、SO、CO 和 O 在内的空气污染物对哈马丹市民的健康影响。考虑到确定的基线发病率(BI)和相对风险(RR)率,估计由于 PM、PM、O、NO 和 CO 污染物导致的心血管和呼吸死亡率归因的死亡比例(AP)分别为总死亡率的 4.42%、3.37%、1.75%、1.74%和 0.92%(95%CI),超额死亡人数分别估计为 131.9、100.4、52.1、51.9 和 27.3 人。此外,心血管死亡率在总死亡人数中比呼吸死亡率的贡献更大。我们的研究结果还表明,PM 对市民的健康影响最大。分析研究污染物(PM、PM 和 NO)的平均季节性浓度和平均季节性温度值显示出正线性相关。研究污染物(PM、PM 和 NO)与相对湿度之间以及 PM 与风速之间存在显著负相关。因此,本研究为制定减少环境空气污染策略提供了额外的数据,这将有助于改善空气质量。

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