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美国枪支暴力的负担:更严格的法律带来更安全的州。

The burden of firearm violence in the United States: stricter laws result in safer states.

作者信息

Jehan Faisal, Pandit Viraj, O'Keeffe Terence, Azim Asad, Jain Arpana, A Tai Saad, Tang Andrew, Khan Muhammad, Kulvatunyou Narong, Gries Lynn, Joseph Bellal

机构信息

Division of Trauma, Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ. Email:

出版信息

J Inj Violence Res. 2018 Jan;10(1):11-16. doi: 10.5249/jivr.v10i1.951. Epub 2017 Nov 11.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Increasing firearm violence has resulted in a strong drive for stricter firearm legislations. Aim of this study was to determine the relationship between firearm legislations and firearm-related injuries across states in the United States.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of all patients with trauma related hospitalization using the 2011 Nationwide Inpatient Sample database. Patients with firearm-related injury were identified using E-codes. States were dichotomized into strict firearm laws [SFL] or non-strict firearm laws [Non-SFL] states based on Brady Center score. Outcome measures were the rate of firearm injury and firearm mortality. Linear Regression and correlation analysis were used to assess outcomes among states.

RESULTS

1,277,250 patients with trauma related hospitalization across 44 states were included of which, 2,583 patients had firearm-related injuries. Ten states were categorized as SFL and 34 states as Non-SFL. Mean rate of firearm related injury per 1000 trauma patients was lower in SFL states (1.3±0.5 vs. 2.1±1.4; p=0.006) and negatively correlated with Brady score (R2 linear=-0.07; p=0.04). SFL states had a 28% lower incidence of firearm related injuries compared to Non-SFL states (Beta coefficient, -0.28; 95% CI, -1.7- -0.06; p=0.04). Firearm related mortalities resulted in overall 9,722 potential life years lost and more so in the non-SFL states (p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

States without SFL have higher firearm related injury rates, higher firearm related mortality rate, and significant potential years of life lost compared to SFL states. Further analysis of differences in the legislation between SFL and non-SFL states may help reduce firearm related injury rate.

摘要

背景

枪支暴力事件不断增加,促使人们强烈要求制定更严格的枪支法律。本研究的目的是确定美国各州枪支法律与枪支相关伤害之间的关系。

方法

我们使用2011年全国住院患者样本数据库对所有因创伤住院的患者进行了回顾性分析。使用电子编码识别与枪支相关伤害的患者。根据布雷迪中心评分,将各州分为严格枪支法律[SFL]州或非严格枪支法律[非SFL]州。结果指标为枪支伤害率和枪支死亡率。采用线性回归和相关性分析来评估各州的结果。

结果

纳入了44个州的1,277,250例因创伤住院的患者,其中2,583例患者有枪支相关伤害。10个州被归类为SFL州,34个州为非SFL州。SFL州每1000例创伤患者中枪支相关伤害的平均发生率较低(1.3±0.5对2.1±1.4;p = 0.006),且与布雷迪评分呈负相关(线性R2 = -0.07;p = 0.04)。与非SFL州相比,SFL州枪支相关伤害的发生率低28%(β系数,-0.28;95%CI,-1.7 - -0.06;p = 0.04)。枪支相关死亡导致总共9,722个潜在生命年损失,在非SFL州更为严重(p = 0.001)。

结论

与SFL州相比,没有SFL的州枪支相关伤害率更高、枪支相关死亡率更高,且潜在生命年损失显著。进一步分析SFL州和非SFL州之间立法的差异可能有助于降低枪支相关伤害率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/820d/5801608/a141cc10f36b/jivr-10-11-g001.jpg

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